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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals

FinalCapital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Rangers 6-3. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was T.J. Oshie's goal at 3:16 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.7 to 3.0; shots on goal were NYR 26, WSH 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 17 of 22 (.773), 2.5 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. T.J. Oshie (2 G, 1 A), 2. Evgeny Kuznetsov (2 G, 2 A), 3. Darcy Kuemper (23 saves, .885).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    T. Oshie2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    E. Kuznetsov2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    D. Kuemper23 saves, .885

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1709210326
WSHWSH1841415627

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    T. Oshie(13)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    4:25
  2. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    8:00

2nd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    3:16
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    7:05
  3. WSH
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    12:52
  4. WSH
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    18:19

3rd period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(25)PPG
    A. Fox (44), M. Zibanejad (31)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    6:49
  2. WSH
    backhandxG 0.16
    2-6
    13:22
  3. NYR
    snapxG 0.21
    3-6
    19:32

Penalties

NYR 11 PIM·WSH 17 PIM

1st

  • 2:37NYRBarclay Goodrow · Trippingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 8:16NYRBarclay Goodrow · Fightingdrawn by T.J. Oshie5 min
  • 8:16WSHT.J. Oshie · Fightingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow5 min
  • 8:38WSHTom Wilson · Interferencedrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 9:41WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Slashingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min
  • 15:45NYRNiko Mikkola · Trippingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min

2nd

  • 10:15NYRFilip Chytil · Roughingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
  • 10:15WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Roughingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min

3rd

  • 1:22WSHTom Wilson · Hookingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min
  • 5:46WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Braden Schneider2 min
  • 5:46WSHDylan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYR goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: T.J. Oshie, 2nd 3:16 — WSH 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.21A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.19T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.18E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.16L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.15T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.15T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.15M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.14T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.14A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.13T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.12E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.12T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.10E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.10D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.10T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.10L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.09D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.05S. Milano · Goal · xG 0.05S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.05E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03D. McIlrath · Missed · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01D. McIlrath · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.01D. McIlrath · Missed · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH6 G · 3.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsWSH
3.73 G
All situations
6 G3.0
2.72 G
Even strength
5 G2.6
0.91 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR59%41%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.55 – 3.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsWSH
26
Shots on goal
27
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/5
Power play
1/2
11
Penalty minutes
17
25
Hits
16
14
Blocked shots
17
10
Giveaways
17
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16V. TrocheckC000-420.633103121:11
23A. FoxD011-210.16020—21:07
79K. MillerD000-200.03210—19:58
8J. TroubaD000-110.26220—19:48
10A. PanarinL000-100.14000—19:11
93M. ZibanejadC022+100.171005618:55
20C. KreiderL112+130.182105018:37
4B. SchneiderD000+150.18310—18:05
24K. KakkoR101020.39000—17:22
91V. TarasenkoR000-320.36200—16:53
13A. LafrenièreL000020.21210—16:37
5B. HarpurD000-100.01020—15:50
72F. ChytilC000-120.281025815:44
77N. MikkolaD000-200.00302—15:11
21B. GoodrowC101-120.092177013:32
26J. VeseyL000-120.31210—12:59
14T. MotteC011020.24000010:15
55R. LindgrenD000+100.00010—03:00
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)22175.7732.51-2.4940:00
41J. Halak541.8000.53-0.4719:57

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).