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St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV BSMWX, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-3. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Brown's goal at 12:59 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.2 to 2.9; shots on goal were STL 29, CHI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Petr Mrazek stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Kyrou (1 G), 2. Brandon Saad (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jakub Vrana (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Kyrou1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    B. Saad1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Vrana1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0731527529
CHICHI09112212333

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    B. Saad (15), B. Schenn (38)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    4:25
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    10:24
  3. STL
    J. Faulk (33), J. Leivo (12)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    12:59
  4. STL
    wristxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    13:37

3rd period

  1. CHI
    T. Johnson(10)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    0:31
  2. STL
    S. Blais (15), K. Kapanen (18)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    9:25
  3. CHI
    S. Jones (23), C. Jones (11)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    4-3
    10:01
  4. STL
    B. Saad(19)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.56win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    18:47

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·CHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:15CHIMacKenzie Entwistle · High stickingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min

2nd

  • 10:05STLJake Neighbours · Trippingdrawn by Boris Katchouk2 min
  • 14:41STLBrayden Schenn · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Raddysh2 min
  • 18:52STLJordan Binnington · Trippingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min

3rd

  • 5:09CHINikita Zaitsev · Holdingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalSTL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Logan Brown, 2nd 12:59 — STL 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.42J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.20C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.19B. Katchouk · Missed · xG 0.18A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.17T. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.16A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.15A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.13B. Katchouk · Goal · xG 0.10T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.09A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.09A. Englund · Missed · xG 0.09J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.09A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.08J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.07T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.07T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.05T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.05T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.04J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.04C. Jones · Missed · xG 0.03R. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.03M. Entwistle · Missed · xG 0.03J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.02B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Englund · Missed · xG 0.01A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 3.2 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCHI
2.94 G
All situations
3 G3.2
2.04 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.30 G
Power play
2 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL34%66%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 3.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCHI
29
Shots on goal
33
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
16
19
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD022+230.13140—25:03
55C. ParaykoD000+130.05410—21:30
10B. SchennC011+220.261125920:01
4N. LeddyD000+110.03030—19:35
20B. SaadL112+220.73010—19:33
43C. RosenD000+140.19010—18:41
15J. VranaL101+230.21000—17:50
47T. KrugD000+100.01020—17:48
25J. KyrouR101050.62100—17:02
42K. KapanenR011+100.000106716:49
79S. BlaisL011+100.00710—16:09
13A. ToropchenkoR101+210.05120—14:10
26N. WalkerL000+100.081006013:30
6M. ScandellaD000+200.00010—13:29
63J. NeighboursL000-110.08402—11:31
22L. BrownC101010.061005711:16
9T. PitlickC011+110.20200011:10
17J. LeivoL011+120.18110—10:55
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)33303.9093.23+0.2360:00

Season series

STL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).