Skip to content

St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV TNT, BSMW·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan O'Reilly's goal at 8:08 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 61% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.5 to 2.3; shots on goal were STL 35, CHI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Arvid Soderblom stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G, 1 A), 2. Andreas Athanasiou (2 G), 3. Jordan Kyrou (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    A. Athanasiou2 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Kyrou1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL1931818535
CHICHI07210010227

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    14:09

2nd period

  1. STL
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    5:12
  2. CHI
    M. Domi (7), P. Kane (11)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    7:19
  3. STL
    backhandxG 0.41win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    8:08
  4. CHI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    9:35
  5. STL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    11:37

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.19win prob +6 pts
    5-2
    6:55

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·CHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:23CHIJack Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min
  • 19:52STLNick Leddy · Holdingdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min

2nd

  • 7:49STLPavel Buchnevich · Interferencedrawn by MacKenzie Entwistle2 min
  • 16:56CHIAlec Regula · Hookingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

3rd

  • 16:40STLVladimir Tarasenko · Holdingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalSTL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan O'Reilly, 2nd 8:08 — STL 61% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.27A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.22J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.19J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.15C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.13P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.11M. Entwistle · Missed · xG 0.10T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.09C. Jones · Missed · xG 0.08P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.08A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.08J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.07J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.06P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05M. Entwistle · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.04J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.04C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03J. Tinordi · Missed · xG 0.02J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01M. Entwistle · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.01J. Tinordi · On goal · xG 0.00J. Tinordi · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI2 G · 2.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCHI
3.55 G
All situations
2 G2.3
2.84 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.51 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL69%31%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.39 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCHI
35
Shots on goal
27
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
10
Hits
10
18
Blocked shots
9
1
Giveaways
8
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000+240.11230—25:39
4N. LeddyD011+120.07022—21:14
77N. MikkolaD000+340.05040—21:06
47T. KrugD000000.00010—19:04
43C. RosenD101+220.06000—18:27
18R. ThomasC000000.000101517:52
25J. KyrouR112+220.27020—17:09
20B. SaadL000010.14100—16:59
10B. SchennC000+230.260005316:48
91V. TarasenkoR000030.60012—16:02
89P. BuchnevichL000020.35012—15:18
90R. O'ReillyC112+130.581005614:58
49I. BarbashevL112+210.19100—14:54
17J. LeivoL011010.24000—13:32
52N. AcciariC022+220.294202513:00
75T. TuckerD000010.01110—11:05
9T. PitlickC101+130.23000010:36
59N. AlexandrovC011+110.00000010:31
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)27252.9262.33+0.3360:00

Season series

STL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).