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Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the St. Louis Blues 5-3. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Lafferty's goal at 13:20 of the first period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 59% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were CHI 18, STL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Jaxson Stauber stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Thomas Greiss stopped 10 of 11 (.909). Three stars: 1. Jason Dickinson (1 G, 2 A), 2. Ivan Barbashev (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sam Lafferty (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    J. Dickinson1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    I. Barbashev1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    S. Lafferty1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI232817518
STLSTL011211110332

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:27
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.24win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    13:20

2nd period

  1. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    2:00
  2. STL
    J. Kyrou(22)PPG
    B. Schenn (24), J. Faulk (18)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    3-1
    2:54
  3. CHI
    snapxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    3:59
  4. STL
    J. Kyrou (23), R. Thomas (31)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    4-2
    13:12

3rd period

  1. STL
    slapxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    4-3
    9:15
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    5-3
    16:01

Penalties

CHI 15 PIM·STL 11 PIM

1st

  • 6:31CHIMacKenzie Entwistle · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min
  • 11:29CHIJake McCabe · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
  • 19:24STLRobert Thomas · Trippingdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min

2nd

  • 2:47CHIJake McCabe · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min
  • 14:43STLIvan Barbashev · Fightingdrawn by Isaak Phillips5 min
  • 14:43CHIIsaak Phillips · Fightingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev5 min
  • 15:22CHIConnor Murphy · Hookingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 20:00STLPavel Buchnevich · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Sam Lafferty2 min
  • 20:00STLPavel Buchnevich · Roughingdrawn by Sam Lafferty2 min
  • 20:00CHISam Lafferty · Roughingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCHI goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Lafferty, 1st 13:20 — CHI 59% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.16B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.15J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.15J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.14R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.13B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.12J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.12R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.11I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.11N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.11J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.09N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.09I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.08J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.07C. Rosen · Missed · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.06R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.06A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.05J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.05N. Leddy · Goal · xG 0.05N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.04N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.03B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.02B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.00J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.00J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 2.6 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsSTL
1.85 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.24 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI34%66%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsSTL
18
Shots on goal
32
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
1/4
15
Penalty minutes
11
33
Hits
17
15
Blocked shots
11
3
Giveaways
12
15
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD011+110.04410—25:06
8J. JohnsonD000+300.00040—20:27
5C. MurphyD000+300.00322—20:12
88P. KaneR011000.06000—19:00
6J. McCabeD000+100.00204—19:00
23P. KurashevC000-100.06010018:14
82C. JonesD000-100.00310—18:04
19J. ToewsC000-110.080105017:37
13M. DomiC101+120.160005317:08
24S. LaffertyC112+350.335126017:08
90T. JohnsonC011+130.41020015:45
11T. RaddyshR000020.18100—15:03
17J. DickinsonC123+310.16300014:44
41I. PhillipsD011-100.01105—13:51
89A. AthanasiouC101+210.11010013:26
43C. BlackwellC011000.00400010:44
52R. JohnsonC101020.114106009:46
58M. EntwistleR011000.0530210008:38
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Stauber(W)32293.9062.59-0.4160:00

Season series

STL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).