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Flyers at Senators
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
4
Ottawa Senators
▸5
Final/OTTV NBCSP, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-4 in overtime, Alex DeBrincat scoring at 1:36. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex DeBrincat's goal at 1:36 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 4.8 to 1.4; shots on goal were PHI 11, OTT 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 93% of the time. Felix Sandstrom stopped 41 of 46 (.891); Cam Talbot stopped 7 of 11 (.636), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tim Stützle (1 G, 1 A), 2. Claude Giroux (1 G), 3. Tony DeAngelo (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    T. Stützle1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. Giroux1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. DeAngelo1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI02133600411
OTTOTT11721011712546

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    A. Watson(9)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:58

2nd period

  1. PHI
    T. DeAngelo(11)PPG
    C. York (16), K. Hayes (36)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    2:51
  2. OTT
    T. Stützle(37)
    B. Tkachuk (44), N. Holden (14)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    7:43
  3. OTT
    S. Pinto(20)PPG
    M. Joseph (15)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    16:50

3rd period

  1. OTT
    C. Giroux(29)
    T. Stützle (47), T. Kleven (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    2:28
  2. PHI
    C. York(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    5:22
  3. PHI
    N. Cates(12)PPG
    R. Ristolainen (15), T. DeAngelo (30)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    3-4
    9:54
  4. PHI
    O. Tippett(23)
    T. Sanheim (14), M. Frost (23)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +42 pts
    4-4
    17:21

Overtime

  1. OTT
    A. DeBrincat(25)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.19win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    1:36

Penalties

PHI 33 PIM·OTT 41 PIM

1st

  • 2:10PHIBrendan Lemieux · Boardingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min

2nd

  • 1:32OTTShane Pinto · High stickingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min
  • 8:13OTTAlex DeBrincat · Fightingdrawn by Joel Farabee5 min
  • 8:13PHIJoel Farabee · Fightingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat5 min
  • 9:10OTTAustin Watson · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 9:10PHINicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Austin Watson5 min
  • 9:10PHINicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Mark Kastelic5 min
  • 9:10OTTMark Kastelic · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 9:10OTTMark Kastelic · Misconduct10 min
  • 9:10OTTMark Kastelic · Game misconduct10 min
  • 9:10PHINicolas Deslauriers · Game misconduct10 min
  • 12:27PHIScott Laughton · Roughingdrawn by Erik Brannstrom2 min
  • 12:27OTTErik Brannstrom · Roughingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 12:27PHIserved by K. Bellows · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:01PHIIvan Provorov · Trippingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min

3rd

  • 9:43OTTAustin Watson · Interferencedrawn by Nick Seeler2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalPHI goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Alex DeBrincat, OT 1:36 — OTT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.31S. Pinto · Goal · xG 0.20A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.19T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.19J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.18D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.17B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.15P. Brown · Missed · xG 0.14D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.13A. Watson · Goal · xG 0.13S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.13A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.13C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.12S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.11T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.11S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.11A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.10S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.10D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.10C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.10A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.09C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.08C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.08C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.08M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.05N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.05J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.03E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.03T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.03S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.03T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.03D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.02P. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 4.8 xG · 69 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsOTT
1.44 G
All situations
5 G4.8
1.22 G
Even strength
4 G3.8
0.22 G
Power play
1 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI7%93%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.34 – 4.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsOTT
11
Shots on goal
46
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/2
Power play
1/3
33
Penalty minutes
41
35
Hits
24
13
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000000.00322—23:49
6T. SanheimD011-200.00210—22:15
55R. RistolainenD011-110.08100—20:58
45C. YorkD112+110.09100—20:39
77T. DeAngeloD112-110.29210—18:43
48M. FrostC011010.090105918:09
49N. CatesL101020.230101418:04
22B. LemieuxL000000.004023318:00
21S. LaughtonC000-110.022024517:57
74O. TippettR101010.14400—17:08
24N. SeelerD000-100.02550—17:06
13K. HayesR011000.051003816:43
86J. FarabeeL000-110.09115—16:38
25J. van RiemsdykL000010.21000—15:51
57W. AllisonR000010.07410—15:19
20K. BellowsL000000.00200—09:18
58T. LaczynskiC000-100.001007507:08
44N. DeslauriersL000-100.002020—05:14
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Sandstrom(O)46415.8914.79-0.2161:36

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).