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Philadelphia Flyers at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV NBCSP, SN1·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1. The Senators scored first; the Flyers answered. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zack MacEwen's goal at 18:24 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were PHI 28, OTT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Cam Talbot stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (33 saves, .971), 2. Claude Giroux (1 G), 3. Zack MacEwen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Hart33 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. Giroux1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    Z. MacEwen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI1511706228
OTTOTT111010013134

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.26win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:44
  2. PHI
    K. Hayes(2)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    5:17

2nd period

  1. PHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    18:24

Penalties

PHI 10 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:12OTTThomas Chabot · High stickingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers2 min
  • 19:18PHITravis Sanheim · Holdingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 2:18PHINick Seeler · Hookingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
  • 6:07OTTMark Kastelic · High stickingdrawn by Justin Braun2 min
  • 7:53PHIZack MacEwen · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
  • 14:08PHILukas Sedlak · Interferencedrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

3rd

  • 5:03OTTNikita Zaitsev · Cross checkingdrawn by Zack MacEwen2 min
  • 12:59PHITravis Sanheim · Interferencedrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalPHI goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Zack MacEwen, 2nd 18:24 — PHI 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.26B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.26A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.25C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.19D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.15S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.15D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.15T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.15B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.15A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.14D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.13D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.13D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.13S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.13D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.12D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.10M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.10D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.08D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.07S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.06C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.06S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.06E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.05D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.04E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.04T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.03D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.02T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01
OTT1 G · 3.9 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsOTT
1.82 G
All situations
1 G3.9
1.41 G
Even strength
1 G2.9
0.21 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI17%83%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 3.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsOTT
28
Shots on goal
34
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/3
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
33
28
Blocked shots
19
7
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000030.20320—26:56
77T. DeAngeloD011000.11030—26:37
21S. LaughtonC000000.002103820:38
61J. BraunD000+100.00220—19:38
11T. KonecnyR011-110.02020—18:54
6T. SanheimD000-120.04154—18:46
13K. HayesR101-140.280004017:34
86J. FarabeeL000030.14210—16:28
24N. SeelerD000+110.05132—16:12
49N. CatesL000000.001203315:29
74O. TippettR000-130.12300—15:05
57W. AllisonR000+110.0742010012:43
44N. DeslauriersL000020.09500—12:30
17Z. MacEwenR101+120.12312—12:03
23L. SedlakC000040.34322011:38
48M. FrostC000+110.080008010:04
54E. ZamulaD000-100.00020—09:27
58T. LaczynskiC000010.10000009:22
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)34331.9713.92+2.9259:56

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).