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Senators at Flyers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸4
Philadelphia Flyers
1
FinalTV NHLN, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Flyers scored first; the Senators answered. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex DeBrincat's goal at 19:11 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were OTT 27, PHI 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex DeBrincat (2 G), 2. Cam Talbot (37 saves, .974), 3. Claude Giroux (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    A. DeBrincat2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. Talbot37 saves, .974
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    C. Giroux3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT1918210427
PHIPHI11701308138

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    K. Hayes(3)
    T. Konecny (11), J. Farabee (6)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:05
  2. OTT
    T. Chabot(3)
    C. Giroux (6), B. Tkachuk (11)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:28

2nd period

  1. OTT
    A. DeBrincat(3)PPG
    B. Tkachuk (12), T. Stützle (8)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    19:11

3rd period

  1. OTT
    A. DeBrincat(4)PPG
    D. Brassard (1), C. Giroux (7)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    6:52
  2. OTT
    T. Stützle(5)EN
    B. Tkachuk (13), C. Giroux (8)
    backhandxG 0.49win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    16:06

Penalties

OTT 16 PIM·PHI 16 PIM

1st

  • 11:06OTTJacob Bernard-Docker · Fightingdrawn by Travis Konecny5 min
  • 11:06PHITravis Konecny · Fightingdrawn by Jacob Bernard-Docker5 min
  • 13:52OTTMark Kastelic · Fightingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo5 min
  • 13:52PHITony DeAngelo · Fightingdrawn by Mark Kastelic5 min
  • 15:39OTTClaude Giroux · Slashingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min

2nd

  • 4:16OTTJacob Bernard-Docker · Hookingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 9:02OTTMathieu Joseph · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 18:16PHINicolas Deslauriers · Interferencedrawn by Jake Sanderson2 min
  • 19:37PHIJoel Farabee · Trippingdrawn by Jake Sanderson2 min

3rd

  • 5:10PHIScott Laughton · Slashingdrawn by Austin Watson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalOTT goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Alex DeBrincat, 2nd 19:11 — OTT 51% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.26T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.18O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.17L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.14T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.11K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.10L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.10K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.09I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.09T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.08K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.07N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.07W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.07S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.07O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.07T. Laczynski · On goal · xG 0.06W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.06J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.02O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01T. Laczynski · On goal · xG 0.01Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.01Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.00
PHI1 G · 2.3 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsPHI
2.03 G
All situations
1 G2.3
0.71 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.42 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT35%65%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.52 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsPHI
27
Shots on goal
38
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/3
Power play
0/3
16
Penalty minutes
16
38
Hits
59
14
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
9
2
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
18T. StützleC112+120.575205022:51
85J. SandersonD000030.05200—22:21
24J. Bernard-DockerD000+100.00217—19:36
23T. HamonicD000-120.01030—19:34
7B. TkachukL033+130.133005619:32
5N. HoldenD000010.02220—19:30
12A. DeBrincatR202030.35110—18:57
72T. ChabotD101+130.20110—18:27
19D. BathersonR000020.1911010017:17
28C. GirouxR033+120.082023817:13
26E. BrannstromD000+100.00120—16:08
14T. MotteC000010.013005014:38
57S. PintoC000010.052005414:33
21M. JosephR000010.24112—14:18
61D. BrassardC011010.032002213:16
16A. WatsonL000010.01300—09:15
45P. KellyC000010.10300008:51
47M. KastelicC000000.004055007:43
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(W)38371.9742.27+1.2760:00

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).