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Panthers at Canadiens
NHL

Florida Panthers at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸5
Montréal Canadiens
2
FinalTV BSFL, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-2. The Canadiens scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 5:57 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.1 to 1.3; shots on goal were FLA 30, MTL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.7 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 25 of 29 (.862). Three stars: 1. Matthew Tkachuk (3 G, 1 A), 2. Anton Lundell (2 G, 1 A), 3. Sean Farrell (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Lundell2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    S. Farrell1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA1132829530
MTLMTL160717220

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    S. Farrell(1)
    J. Evans (13)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:23
  2. FLA
    A. Lundell(11)
    E. Luostarinen (26), M. Tkachuk (63)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:09

2nd period

  1. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(36)PPG
    S. Reinhart (30), B. Montour (50)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    3:59
  2. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(37)
    A. Lundell (20), A. Ekblad (21)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    5:57

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Lundell(12)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +4 pts
    4-1
    10:15
  2. MTL
    R. Harvey-Pinard(14)PPG
    M. Hoffman (20), M. Matheson (22)
    tip-inxG 0.09
    4-2
    18:35
  3. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(38)EN
    A. Barkov (48), S. Reinhart (31)
    wristxG 0.51
    5-2
    19:40

Penalties

FLA 4 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:32MTLMichael Pezzetta · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min

2nd

  • 3:12MTLJustin Barron · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 8:30FLABrandon Montour · Cross checkingdrawn by Rafael Harvey-Pinard2 min

3rd

  • 18:18FLARadko Gudas · Interferencedrawn by Jesse Ylonen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalFLA goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, 2nd 5:57 — FLA 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.26D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.11R. Harvey-Pinard · Goal · xG 0.09R. Harvey-Pinard · On goal · xG 0.09M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.07D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.05C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.05M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.03J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.03D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.03B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.02J. Harris · Missed · xG 0.02S. Farrell · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Belzile · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Farrell · Goal · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 1.3 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsMTL
4.14 G
All situations
2 G1.3
3.33 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA85%15%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.49 – 1.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsMTL
30
Shots on goal
20
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
18
20
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
24
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD000+220.08010—22:03
62B. MontourD011020.21002—22:03
5A. EkbladD011+210.04120—21:21
16A. BarkovC011+110.111106020:08
19M. TkachukL314+340.86210—19:07
18M. StaalD000000.01220—18:47
7R. GudasD000+110.02542—18:36
28J. MahuraD000+120.05130—17:20
13S. ReinhartC022+120.360106717:09
27E. LuostarinenC011+110.25110016:25
12E. StaalC000020.190005015:41
23C. VerhaegheC000030.46000015:41
94R. LombergL000+110.40010—15:34
15A. LundellC213+260.960004415:15
10A. DuclairL000010.00120—13:58
54G. SmithR000000.00100—10:00
21N. CousinsC000000.00300009:55
6C. WhiteC000010.082104008:40
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(W)20182.9001.33-0.6760:00

Season series

FLA leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).