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Panthers at Canadiens
NHL

Florida Panthers at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV BSFL, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Montréal Canadiens 6-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Reinhart's goal at 6:30 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 5.4 to 2.4; shots on goal were FLA 40, MTL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Samuel Montembeault stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matthew Tkachuk (2 G), 2. Sam Reinhart (1 G, 2 A), 3. Rem Pitlick (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    R. Pitlick1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA01152217640
MTLMTL090729225

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.36win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    6:30
  2. FLA
    S. Bennett(11)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    8:27
  3. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(23)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    14:58
  4. FLA
    wristxG 0.19win prob +3 pts
    4-0
    16:03
  5. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(24)PPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    5-0
    19:17

3rd period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.06
    5-1
    2:12
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.14
    5-2
    8:06
  3. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.10
    6-2
    9:11

Penalties

FLA 37 PIM·MTL 53 PIM

1st

  • 2:01FLAEetu Luostarinen · High stickingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta2 min
  • 8:29MTLRem Pitlick · Hookingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 16:26FLANick Cousins · Slashingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta2 min
  • 18:51MTLJoel Edmundson · Interferencedrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min

2nd

  • 4:34MTLKirby Dach · Hookingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 6:30MTLserved by C. Caufield · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 11:37FLAGivani Smith · Roughingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 13:17MTLJosh Anderson · Cross checkingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 16:55MTLserved by J. Ylonen · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:18MTLserved by J. Harris · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 20:00FLAGustav Forsling · Cross checkingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min
  • 20:00FLAGivani Smith · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00MTLArber Xhekaj · Misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 5:13FLAMarc Staal · Roughingdrawn by David Savard2 min
  • 5:13MTLDavid Savard · Roughingdrawn by Marc Staal2 min
  • 5:13MTLDavid Savard · Misconduct10 min
  • 5:58FLASam Bennett · Kneeingdrawn by Jordan Harris2 min
  • 5:58FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Mike Matheson5 min
  • 5:58MTLMike Matheson · Fightingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk5 min
  • 12:46FLAGivani Smith · Fightingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj5 min
  • 12:46MTLArber Xhekaj · Fightingdrawn by Givani Smith5 min
  • 14:09MTLMichael Pezzetta · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 14:09MTLMichael Pezzetta · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg5 min
  • 14:09FLARyan Lomberg · Fightingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalFLA goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Reinhart, 2nd 6:30 — FLA 48% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.18J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.18C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.16R. Harvey-Pinard · On goal · xG 0.15K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.14J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.14N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.13E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.13J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.12C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.12J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.11C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.10J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.08C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.08J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.07R. Pitlick · Goal · xG 0.06J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.05C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.05C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.05R. Harvey-Pinard · On goal · xG 0.04J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.04J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.02J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 2.4 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsMTL
5.46 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.02 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
3.04 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA85%15%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 5.05 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsMTL
40
Shots on goal
25
44%
Faceoffs
56%
4/8
Power play
0/5
37
Penalty minutes
53
14
Hits
25
20
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
18
9
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000060.54100—24:35
62B. MontourD011020.25000—24:15
19M. TkachukL202090.91025—23:26
13S. ReinhartC123-231.16010020:42
16A. BarkovC022020.550005020:30
42G. ForslingD011000.05022—19:58
9S. BennettC112040.491025019:41
7R. GudasD011010.03540—17:50
15A. LundellC011-120.170003316:54
18M. StaalD000+100.00122—16:23
27E. LuostarinenC000000.000325015:31
23C. VerhaegheC011+140.57010014:44
28J. MahuraD000-100.01020—14:10
21N. CousinsC011010.04102011:50
14G. DenisenkoL000020.20320—11:22
94R. LombergL101+110.10005—06:40
54G. SmithR101+120.222017—05:33
12E. StaalC000010.09010004:16
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(W)25232.9202.29+0.2957:39
72S. Bobrovsky000—0.11+0.1102:01

Season series

FLA leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).