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Canadiens at Panthers
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
5
Florida Panthers
▸9
FinalTV BSFLX, TSN2·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Montréal Canadiens 9-5. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Panthers led 9-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Lomberg's goal at 10:33 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were MTL 30, FLA 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 21 of 24 (.875); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 3 A), 2. Aaron Ekblad (2 G), 3. Carter Verhaeghe (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad2 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL36113111530
FLAFLA71921607942

Scoring

14 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    M. Matheson(7)
    J. Anderson (10), J. Drouin (25)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:16
  2. FLA
    C. White(8)
    N. Cousins (18), E. Staal (12)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    2:43
  3. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(33)
    S. Bennett (22)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    3:17
  4. MTL
    A. Richard(3)
    K. Guhle (14)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    2-2
    5:20
  5. FLA
    G. Forsling(9)
    M. Tkachuk (58)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    6:04
  6. MTL
    M. Pezzetta(6)
    A. Richard (2), C. Tierney (5)
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    3-3
    8:18
  7. FLA
    A. Ekblad(11)
    E. Luostarinen (21), A. Barkov (40)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    3-4
    9:09
  8. FLA
    R. Lomberg(10)
    R. Gudas (10), J. Mahura (10)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    3-5
    10:33
  9. FLA
    S. Reinhart(24)
    J. Mahura (11)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    3-6
    12:22
  10. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(34)
    M. Tkachuk (59)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +5 pts
    3-7
    13:18

2nd period

  1. MTL
    R. Harvey-Pinard(9)
    J. Barron (9), J. Edmundson (8)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +4 pts
    4-7
    2:26
  2. FLA
    A. Ekblad(12)PPG
    B. Montour (44), M. Tkachuk (60)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +4 pts
    4-8
    5:31
  3. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(31)
    A. Barkov (41)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +1 pts
    4-9
    7:33

3rd period

  1. MTL
    R. Pitlick(5)PPG
    M. Matheson (16)
    slapxG 0.19
    5-9
    5:47

Penalties

MTL 31 PIM·FLA 2 PIM

1st

  • 18:01MTLKaiden Guhle · Trippingdrawn by Colin White2 min

2nd

  • 3:36MTLChris Tierney · Delaying game2 min
  • 8:10MTLAnthony Richard · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

3rd

  • 5:00FLAAaron Ekblad · Interferencedrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
  • 17:09MTLNick Suzuki · Cross checkingdrawn by Anton Lundell5 min
  • 17:09MTLNick Suzuki · Game misconductdrawn by Anton Lundell10 min
  • 17:09MTLJohnathan Kovacevic · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalMTL goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Lomberg, 1st 10:33 — FLA 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.24A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.21C. White · Goal · xG 0.21A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.20M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.20B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.19C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.18S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.16S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.14A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.14C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.14J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.11C. White · On goal · xG 0.09S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.09E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08R. Lomberg · Goal · xG 0.08G. Forsling · Goal · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.06A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.06C. White · Missed · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.04E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.04G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.03A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA9 G · 4.1 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsFLA
2.25 G
All situations
9 G4.1
1.94 G
Even strength
8 G3.1
0.21 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL22%78%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 4.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsFLA
30
Shots on goal
42
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/1
Power play
1/4
31
Penalty minutes
2
26
Hits
24
16
Blocked shots
4
5
Giveaways
4
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58D. SavardD000-210.03320—22:05
8M. MathesonD112-330.07000—20:22
52J. BarronD011020.12010—19:59
26J. KovacevicD000-320.130210—19:44
44J. EdmundsonD011010.01300—18:54
21K. GuhleD011010.04222—18:13
49R. Harvey-PinardL101-110.04120—18:11
14N. SuzukiC000-140.2231153117:22
17J. AndersonR011-230.16310—17:19
32R. PitlickC101020.27000015:21
60A. BelzileR000-120.180202715:09
68M. HoffmanC000-130.25100014:43
67C. TierneyC011000.000125013:55
27J. DrouinL011-200.000006713:36
25D. GurianovR000-310.10100—13:16
56J. YlonenR000-100.00210—12:03
55M. PezzettaL101030.28610—10:36
90A. RichardC112010.29102010:26
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault24213.8752.65-0.3538:31
34J. Allen(L)18126.6671.45-4.5521:29

Season series

FLA leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).