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Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NESN, BSSUN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 2-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Garnet Hathaway's goal at 17:32 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were TBL 27, BOS 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 32 of 34 (.941); Linus Ullmark stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Linus Ullmark (26 saves, .963), 2. Garnet Hathaway (1 G), 3. Dmitry Orlov.

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    L. Ullmark26 saves, .963
  2. ★★
    BOS
    G. Hathaway1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Orlov

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL15011011127
BOSBOS110111013234

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    6:46
  2. TBL
    V. Hedman(8)SHG
    slapxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:30

2nd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.10win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    17:32

Penalties

TBL 21 PIM·BOS 17 PIM

1st

  • 0:09BOSGarnet Hathaway · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min
  • 0:09TBLRoss Colton · Roughingdrawn by Jakub Lauko2 min
  • 0:09TBLRoss Colton · Roughingdrawn by Jakub Lauko2 min
  • 0:09BOSJakub Lauko · Roughingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 0:09TBLPatrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway5 min
  • 3:19TBLTanner Jeannot · Interferencedrawn by Connor Clifton2 min
  • 5:33TBLPatrick Maroon · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 8:19TBLTanner Jeannot · High sticking double minordrawn by David Krejci4 min
  • 11:51BOSCharlie McAvoy · Trippingdrawn by Ian Cole2 min
  • 18:38BOSGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min

2nd

  • 9:49BOSBrandon Carlo · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 10:40BOSCharlie McAvoy · High stickingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min
  • 14:12TBLSteven Stamkos · Slashingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
  • 14:21BOSJake DeBrusk · Slashingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min

3rd

  • 11:36TBLBrandon Hagel · Interferencedrawn by Jakub Lauko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalTBL goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Garnet Hathaway, 2nd 17:32 — BOS 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.18T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.14J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.14D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.13D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.13J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.13P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.12P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.11J. Lauko · On goal · xG 0.11G. Hathaway · Goal · xG 0.10B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.08T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.08D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.06T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.06D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.06T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.05T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.05D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.04C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.03B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.03M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.03B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.02P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.00C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS2 G · 2.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsBOS
1.91 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.00 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL43%57%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsBOS
27
Shots on goal
34
34%
Faceoffs
66%
0/5
Power play
1/7
21
Penalty minutes
17
35
Hits
25
18
Blocked shots
9
6
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000040.24330—25:27
77V. HedmanD101+150.20130—23:57
21B. PointC000010.160102121:04
86N. KucherovR000030.21100—20:19
38B. HagelL000010.30312—19:12
20N. PaulL000010.012105017:49
81E. CernakD000-110.01210—17:46
71A. CirelliC000010.183102717:39
28I. ColeD000000.00100—17:20
17A. KillornL011+120.08200—17:10
91S. StamkosC000-130.201126717:06
48N. PerbixD000020.03320—14:34
43D. RaddyshD000010.12430—13:08
79R. ColtonC000010.0330410010:26
41P. BellemareL011+100.00000—09:56
14P. MaroonL000000.00117—09:21
10C. PerryR000-110.18100—08:46
84T. JeannotL000-100.00406—06:45
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)34322.9412.27+0.2759:01

Season series

BOS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).