Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-3. The Lightning scored first; the Bruins answered. The Bruins led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Charlie Coyle's goal at 5:38 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.3 to 3.0; shots on goal were BOS 29, TBL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrice Bergeron (1 A), 2. Nick Paul (2 G), 3. David Krejci (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★P. Bergeron1 A

- ★★N. Paul2 G

- ★★★D. Krejci1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-18:57
1-115:36
2nd period
2-15:07
3-15:38
4-115:08
3rd period
5-13:51
5-24:02
5-310:38
Penalties
1st
- 19:00
Erik Cernak · Interferencedrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
- 20:00
Brad Marchand · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
2nd
- 3:41
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare · Slashingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min
- 8:52
Corey Perry · High stickingdrawn by Matt Grzelcyk2 min
3rd
- 0:19
Matt Grzelcyk · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
- 2:56
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
- 9:54
Charlie Coyle · Slashingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Charlie Coyle, 2nd 5:38 — 64% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.05 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.3
- 2.03 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.7
- 1.02 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.6
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 3.23
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 35
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 2/4
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 27
- Hits
- 43
- 6
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 6
- Giveaways
- 21
- 12
- Takeaways
- 18
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















