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Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV BSSUNX, NESN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-3. The Lightning scored first; the Bruins answered. The Bruins led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Charlie Coyle's goal at 5:38 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.3 to 3.0; shots on goal were BOS 29, TBL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrice Bergeron (1 A), 2. Nick Paul (2 G), 3. David Krejci (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Paul2 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Krejci1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS1731418529
TBLTBL11407214335

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:57
  2. BOS
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:36

2nd period

  1. BOS
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    5:07
  2. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    5:38
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.29win prob +9 pts
    4-1
    15:08

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    3:51
  2. TBL
    wristxG 0.20win prob +2 pts
    5-2
    4:02
  3. TBL
    N. Paul(8)PPG
    slapxG 0.06win prob +2 pts
    5-3
    10:38

Penalties

BOS 6 PIM·TBL 8 PIM

1st

  • 19:00TBLErik Cernak · Interferencedrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 20:00BOSBrad Marchand · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

2nd

  • 3:41TBLPierre-Edouard Bellemare · Slashingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min
  • 8:52TBLCorey Perry · High stickingdrawn by Matt Grzelcyk2 min

3rd

  • 0:19BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 2:56TBLPierre-Edouard Bellemare · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 9:54BOSCharlie Coyle · Slashingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalBOS goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Charlie Coyle, 2nd 5:38 — BOS 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.44B. Point · On goal · xG 0.23R. Balcers · Goal · xG 0.20R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.18C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.16N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.16V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.14P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.13N. Paul · Goal · xG 0.12P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.12R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.11B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.10B. Point · On goal · xG 0.10A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.07R. Balcers · Missed · xG 0.07P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.07C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.07N. Paul · Goal · xG 0.06V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.06E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.06I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.05V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.04A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.03V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.03N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.03P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.02V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.02P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.02P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.00S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 3.3 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsTBL
3.05 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.03 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
1.02 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS45%55%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 3.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsTBL
29
Shots on goal
35
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
43
6
Blocked shots
10
6
Giveaways
21
12
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27H. LindholmD000-100.02420—24:39
73C. McAvoyD022+100.00410—23:28
25B. CarloD000+130.20100—21:55
63B. MarchandL101+150.6420210020:46
88D. PastrnakR101+150.53000—20:21
74J. DeBruskL022+120.21000—18:40
37P. BergeronC011+140.523106318:15
46D. KrejciC112+120.220103117:57
75C. CliftonD000-100.00100—17:38
48M. GrzelcykD011+210.01202—17:12
18P. ZachaC011+110.06000016:52
13C. CoyleC101020.090025015:24
71T. HallL011010.09110—14:57
17N. FolignoL101-120.24500—13:22
92T. NosekL000-100.093006710:59
86A. StralmanD000000.00100—10:12
10A. GreerL000-110.05000—07:25
11T. FredericC011000.00000005:14
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)35323.9143.33+0.3360:00

Season series

BOS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).