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Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV NESN, BSSUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Boston Bruins 3-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Hedman's goal at 13:19 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 52% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were BOS 39, TBL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Victor Hedman (1 G), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (37 saves, .949), 3. Nikita Kucherov (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy37 saves, .949
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS013114112239
TBLTBL17013215335

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Hagel(19)PPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    10:42

2nd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    16:58

3rd period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +24 pts
    1-2
    0:58
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    2:24
  3. TBL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +35 pts
    2-3
    13:19

Penalties

BOS 15 PIM·TBL 13 PIM

1st

  • 10:12BOSBrad Marchand · High stickingdrawn by Ian Cole2 min
  • 14:21TBLCorey Perry · Fightingdrawn by Connor Clifton5 min
  • 14:21BOSConnor Clifton · Fightingdrawn by Corey Perry5 min
  • 19:19TBLIan Cole · Interferencedrawn by Nick Foligno2 min

2nd

  • 0:19BOSDavid Pastrnak · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 13:19BOSHampus Lindholm · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 15:48BOSTaylor Hall · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Andrei Vasilevskiy2 min
  • 15:48TBLMikhail Sergachev · Cross checkingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

3rd

  • 2:38TBLRoss Colton · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Linus Ullmark2 min
  • 2:38BOSDerek Forbort · Roughingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 2:38TBLPatrick Maroon · Roughingdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalBOS goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Victor Hedman, 3rd 13:19 — TBL 52% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.20S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.19B. Point · On goal · xG 0.19B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.17N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.17S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.17N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.16B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.14B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.12V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.11A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.10R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.10N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.10N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.08A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.07C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.07B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.06A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.05N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.04B. Point · Goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.03N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.02A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.00A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 3.2 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsTBL
2.52 G
All situations
3 G3.2
2.12 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS39%61%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 3.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsTBL
39
Shots on goal
35
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
1/3
15
Penalty minutes
13
26
Hits
30
11
Blocked shots
9
2
Giveaways
8
8
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27H. LindholmD011030.19112—23:55
73C. McAvoyD000020.02220—21:53
88D. PastrnakR011060.51102—20:55
63B. MarchandL101+140.29002—19:32
48M. GrzelcykD000040.10000—18:15
46D. KrejciC011020.141006718:09
37P. BergeronC000+130.212003618:04
75C. CliftonD011+210.02205—17:31
71T. HallL000010.1211210017:24
25B. CarloD000-220.02220—17:24
28D. ForbortD000000.00512—16:22
13C. CoyleC000-120.142205515:56
18P. ZachaC101030.39000015:15
45J. KoppanenL000010.082103612:53
17N. FolignoL000020.12400—12:01
10A. GreerL000000.00110—10:23
11T. FredericC000-110.03000010:22
12C. SmithC000-120.12000009:16
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(L)35323.9143.16+0.1658:00

Season series

BOS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).