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Oilers at Jets
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
5
Winnipeg Jets
▸7
FinalTV CBC, CITY·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Edmonton Oilers 7-5. The lead changed hands 4 times. The Jets led 6-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Barron's goal at 10:45 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.1 to 2.7; shots on goal were EDM 35, WPG 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 32 of 38 (.842), 3.3 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Morrissey (2 G, 1 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (3 G), 3. Adam Lowry (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl3 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    A. Lowry1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM110311114535
WPGWPG21341917739

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(39)PPG
    Z. Hyman (43), E. Bouchard (19)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +8 pts
    1-0
    1:43
  2. WPG
    M. Scheifele(36)
    D. DeMelo (17), N. Niederreiter (12)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    11:34
  3. WPG
    J. Morrissey(14)
    N. Pionk (18)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:09

2nd period

  1. EDM
    M. Janmark(6)SHG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (48)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    2:57
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(40)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    6:12
  3. WPG
    A. Lowry(8)
    M. Barron (9), B. Dillon (16)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    3-3
    6:54
  4. WPG
    K. Capobianco(2)
    B. Wheeler (30)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    3-4
    7:16
  5. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(41)PPG
    C. McDavid (70), E. Bouchard (20)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    4-4
    9:18
  6. WPG
    M. Barron(6)
    J. Morrissey (51)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +19 pts
    4-5
    10:45
  7. WPG
    J. Morrissey(15)PPG
    K. Connor (41), M. Scheifele (21)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    4-6
    19:58

3rd period

  1. EDM
    N. Bjugstad(14)
    D. Shore (5), E. Bouchard (21)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    5-6
    2:55
  2. WPG
    D. DeMelo(3)EN
    V. Namestnikov (10)
    wristxG 0.39win prob +2 pts
    5-7
    19:25

Penalties

EDM 11 PIM·WPG 11 PIM

1st

  • 1:30WPGBlake Wheeler · Hookingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 4:26EDMMattias Janmark · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

2nd

  • 2:45EDMZach Hyman · Interferencedrawn by Saku Maenalanen2 min
  • 9:11WPGserved by N. Niederreiter · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:59EDMDarnell Nurse · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 18:59WPGAdam Lowry · Fightingdrawn by Darnell Nurse5 min
  • 18:59EDMDarnell Nurse · Fightingdrawn by Adam Lowry5 min

3rd

  • 5:10WPGMorgan Barron · Interferencedrawn by Philip Broberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalEDM goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Morgan Barron, 2nd 10:45 — WPG 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. DeMelo · Goal · xG 0.39K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.15A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.15M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.14N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.12M. Barron · Goal · xG 0.12K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.11M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.11K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.10N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.10V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.09J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.07K. Capobianco · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.07S. Maenalanen · Missed · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.04K. Capobianco · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.03A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.03D. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02K. Capobianco · Goal · xG 0.02M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.02K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.02K. Capobianco · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG7 G · 3.1 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsWPG
2.75 G
All situations
6 G3.1
2.02 G
Even strength
5 G2.1
0.52 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM49%51%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsWPG
35
Shots on goal
39
49%
Faceoffs
51%
2/3
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
13
Hits
29
15
Blocked shots
19
6
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD033030.10010—24:18
29L. DraisaitlC303-150.740205323:58
97C. McDavidC011-240.442005823:23
56K. YamamotoR000010.08200—23:11
14M. EkholmD000+110.12130—21:29
25D. NurseD000-200.00107—20:53
5C. CeciD000-120.03330—20:19
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011040.110003320:09
18Z. HymanL011-240.42002—18:31
27B. KulakD000-200.00100—14:53
72N. BjugstadC101020.111305013:17
10D. RyanC000-230.200006712:52
37W. FoegeleL000-110.03100—11:39
26M. JanmarkC101-230.28002011:13
71R. McLeodC000-200.000005011:00
19D. ShoreC011+110.01010009:18
73V. DesharnaisD000-200.00110—08:27
86P. BrobergD000010.03010—07:32
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(L)38326.8422.74-3.2658:39

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).