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Canadiens at Maple Leafs
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs

FinalTV CBC, SN·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-1. The Canadiens scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. The Maple Leafs led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre Engvall's goal at 13:20 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were MTL 30, TOR 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 36 of 41 (.878); Joseph Woll stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Michael Bunting (2 G), 2. Rasmus Sandin (2 A), 3. Pierre Engvall (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Bunting2 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    R. Sandin2 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    P. Engvall1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0131809130
TORTOR016314211541

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    0:42
  2. TOR
    M. Bunting(17)PPG
    wristxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    5:32
  3. TOR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.19win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    13:20
  4. TOR
    slapxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    18:20

3rd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.14win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    3:47
  2. TOR
    wristxG 0.30
    1-5
    14:53

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·TOR 2 PIM

2nd

  • 4:04MTLMike Matheson · Trippingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 7:57TORJohn Tavares · Hookingdrawn by Johnathan Kovacevic2 min
  • 16:11MTLDavid Savard · Slashingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min

3rd

  • 10:34MTLRafael Harvey-Pinard · High stickingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalMTL goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Pierre Engvall, 2nd 13:20 — TOR 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.31D. Kampf · Goal · xG 0.30M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.27N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.22A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.21M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.21P. Engvall · Goal · xG 0.19M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.18W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.18R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.16J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.16C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.15W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.15M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.15C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.14W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.14M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.13R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.13W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.12C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.10P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.10W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.10D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.09N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.08D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.08A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.08M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.07J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.06N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.06N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.05M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.05T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.04W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.03N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.03T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.03R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01
TOR5 G · 4.9 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTOR
2.21 G
All situations
5 G4.9
2.11 G
Even strength
4 G4.1
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL14%86%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 4.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTOR
30
Shots on goal
41
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
27
Hits
28
14
Blocked shots
14
8
Giveaways
10
15
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58D. SavardD000-200.00242—24:00
8M. MathesonD011+100.00622—23:55
54J. HarrisD011-230.11110—20:37
26J. KovacevicD000-220.05300—19:29
14N. SuzukiC000030.281103317:46
28C. DvorakC000-200.051105017:44
17J. AndersonR101030.16300—17:43
40J. ArmiaR000-100.00200—16:19
52J. BarronD000-110.03200—16:12
49R. Harvey-PinardL000+110.10012—15:13
27J. DrouinL000-170.570007515:04
63E. DadonovL000-110.08000—14:26
64C. SchuenemanD000-110.01000—14:20
68M. HoffmanC000-130.27010014:06
60A. BelzileR000020.242201013:57
56J. YlonenR000-100.00100—12:15
32R. PitlickC000-120.210004311:08
55M. PezzettaL000-110.03310—10:18
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)41365.8784.94-0.0660:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).