Montréal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs
Recap
written from the game dataThe Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-1. The Canadiens scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. The Maple Leafs led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre Engvall's goal at 13:20 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were MTL 30, TOR 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 36 of 41 (.878); Joseph Woll stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Michael Bunting (2 G), 2. Rasmus Sandin (2 A), 3. Pierre Engvall (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Bunting2 G

- ★★R. Sandin2 A

- ★★★P. Engvall1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals2nd period
1-00:42
1-15:32
1-213:20
1-318:20
3rd period
1-43:47
1-514:53
Penalties
2nd
- 4:04
Mike Matheson · Trippingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
- 7:57
John Tavares · Hookingdrawn by Johnathan Kovacevic2 min
- 16:11
David Savard · Slashingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
3rd
- 10:34
Rafael Harvey-Pinard · High stickingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Pierre Engvall, 2nd 13:20 — 53% → 73%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.21 G
- All situations
- 5 G4.9
- 2.11 G
- Even strength
- 4 G4.1
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.9
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 4.85
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 41
- 40%
- Faceoffs
- 60%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 27
- Hits
- 28
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 8
- Giveaways
- 10
- 15
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 2-2
3@
4Final
2@
3OTFinal
1@
5this game
1@
7Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















