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Maple Leafs at Canadiens
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
3
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
FinalTV SN, TVAS·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Anderson's goal at 19:41 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 52% to 99%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were TOR 32, MTL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.7 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (2 G), 2. Nick Suzuki (2 A), 3. Jake Allen (29 saves, .906).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Allen29 saves, .906

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR18113111332
MTLMTL082926423

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Bunting(1)
    M. Marner (1), T. Brodie (1)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    11:41

2nd period

  1. MTL
    C. Caufield(1)
    N. Suzuki (1), D. Savard (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    0:33
  2. TOR
    D. Malgin(1)
    J. Tavares (1), W. Nylander (1)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    9:06
  3. MTL
    C. Caufield(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    15:56

3rd period

  1. MTL
    S. Monahan(1)
    J. Harris (1), K. Dach (1)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +43 pts
    2-3
    17:30
  2. TOR
    W. Nylander(1)
    J. Tavares (2), M. Rielly (1)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +44 pts
    3-3
    18:10
  3. MTL
    J. Anderson(1)
    N. Suzuki (2)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +48 pts
    3-4
    19:41

Penalties

TOR 8 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:07TORMark Giordano · Interferencedrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
  • 5:37TORMichael Bunting · Holdingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 12:59TORRasmus Sandin · Trippingdrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min
  • 13:45MTLChris Wideman · Interferencedrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min

2nd

  • 4:02MTLRem Pitlick · Hookingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min
  • 11:11TORAlexander Kerfoot · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Harris2 min
  • 17:20MTLArber Xhekaj · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Alexander Kerfoot0 min

3rd

  • 5:33MTLSean Monahan · High stickingdrawn by Justin Holl2 min
  • 14:04MTLJordan Harris · High stickingdrawn by Denis Malgin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTOR goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Anderson, 3rd 19:41 — MTL 52% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.23N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.21C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.17C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.15C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.15J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.13A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.13N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.09S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.08E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.07C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.07N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.06A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.05C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.05J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.05S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.04J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.04J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.04J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.04J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.04C. Wideman · Missed · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.03C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.01J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.00J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.00
MTL4 G · 2.3 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsMTL
3.13 G
All situations
4 G2.3
1.83 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
1.30 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR63%37%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsMTL
32
Shots on goal
23
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
19
15
Blocked shots
23
11
Giveaways
23
12
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD011-100.07010—22:32
34A. MatthewsC000050.413006019:54
78T. BrodieD011-100.00110—19:42
3J. HollD000-110.00030—19:29
88W. NylanderR112+150.710005019:00
16M. MarnerR011-110.05020—18:28
55M. GiordanoD000+210.02012—18:20
8J. MuzzinD000-230.14460—18:11
91J. TavaresC022+130.122004717:41
15A. KerfootC000040.530023315:18
38R. SandinD000+110.01112—14:50
64D. KampfC000-100.000005014:33
47P. EngvallL000-230.27000—14:09
19C. JarnkrokC000-120.26000014:02
58M. BuntingL101-110.17102—12:58
62D. MalginC101+220.29000011:33
12Z. Aston-ReeseL000000.00400—11:19
96N. Aube-KubelR000000.00300—10:43
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)23194.8262.28-1.7259:18

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).