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Maple Leafs at Canadiens
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
Montréal Canadiens
▸3
Final/OTTV SN, CBC·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2 in overtime, Rem Pitlick scoring at 2:14. The Canadiens came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rem Pitlick's goal at 2:14 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.2 to 3.1; shots on goal were TOR 38, MTL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Samuel Montembeault stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Samuel Montembeault (36 saves, .947), 2. Rafael Harvey-Pinard (1 G), 3. Josh Anderson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    S. Montembeault36 saves, .947
  2. ★★
    MTL
    R. Harvey-Pinard1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Anderson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR2150801401238
MTLMTL042180613331

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Giordano(3)
    W. Nylander (28), A. Matthews (28)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:53
  2. TOR
    C. Jarnkrok(10)
    C. Timmins (11), M. Marner (39)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    17:30

2nd period

  1. MTL
    J. Anderson(14)
    N. Suzuki (22), R. Pitlick (2)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    1:46
  2. MTL
    R. Harvey-Pinard(1)
    M. Pezzetta (2), A. Belzile (1)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    13:35

Overtime

  1. MTL
    R. Pitlick(3)
    M. Hoffman (7), D. Savard (10)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    2:14

Penalties

TOR 10 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:26TORZachary Aston-Reese · Trippingdrawn by Justin Barron2 min
  • 18:43MTLEvgenii Dadonov · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min

2nd

  • 10:47TORRasmus Sandin · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Samuel Montembeault2 min
  • 18:39TORMark Giordano · Interferencedrawn by Josh Anderson2 min

3rd

  • 10:14MTLKirby Dach · Holdingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
  • 16:53MTLMike Matheson · Roughingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
  • 16:53TORCalle Jarnkrok · Interferencedrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 17:53TORWilliam Nylander · High stickingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTOR goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Rem Pitlick, OT 2:14 — MTL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.29N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.21J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.19M. Pezzetta · Missed · xG 0.18K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.15J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.14R. Harvey-Pinard · Goal · xG 0.12K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.12C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.11N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.11E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.11J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.10J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.10M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.09R. Pitlick · Goal · xG 0.09M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.07J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pezzetta · Missed · xG 0.06K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.06R. Harvey-Pinard · On goal · xG 0.06C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.05A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.04A. Belzile · Missed · xG 0.04J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.04E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.04J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.01
MTL3 G · 3.1 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsMTL
4.22 G
All situations
3 G3.1
3.22 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR66%34%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.13 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsMTL
38
Shots on goal
31
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/2
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
31
14
Blocked shots
23
7
Giveaways
21
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000030.11010—24:51
3J. HollD000000.00130—23:45
16M. MarnerR011+160.51020—23:04
37T. LiljegrenD000020.34100—20:22
55M. GiordanoD101020.20032—20:12
34A. MatthewsC011-130.351208019:51
88W. NylanderR011070.74012—19:26
64D. KampfC000-120.291006319:09
91J. TavaresC000030.230006016:25
25C. TimminsD011010.01210—15:10
38R. SandinD000-100.00312—15:10
58M. BuntingL000-130.27000—13:54
19C. JarnkrokC101+110.19002013:40
15A. KerfootC000010.150006712:18
47P. EngvallL000-130.64000—12:04
74B. McMannC000010.03200012:04
12Z. Aston-ReeseL000000.16202—08:51
24W. SimmondsR000000.00100—06:45
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35I. Samsonov(O)31283.9033.12+0.1261:55

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).