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Capitals at Senators
NHL

Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
2
Ottawa Senators
▸5
FinalTV NBCSWA, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Washington Capitals 5-2. The Senators came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shane Pinto's goal at 5:53 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 4.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were WSH 24, OTT 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Drake Batherson (2 G), 2. Shane Pinto (1 G), 3. Darcy Kuemper (39 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    D. Batherson2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    S. Pinto1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    D. Kuemper39 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH2120507224
OTTOTT07215322544

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    T. Oshie(2)PPG
    M. Johansson (3), J. Carlson (2)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:01
  2. WSH
    A. Mantha(3)PPG
    D. Orlov (1), C. Sheary (1)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    10:35

2nd period

  1. OTT
    D. Batherson(2)PPG
    B. Tkachuk (3), A. DeBrincat (3)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    5:48
  2. OTT
    D. Batherson(3)PPG
    T. Chabot (2), B. Tkachuk (4)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    7:39

3rd period

  1. OTT
    S. Pinto(3)
    T. Motte (2), M. Joseph (2)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +27 pts
    2-3
    5:53
  2. OTT
    T. Motte(1)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.64win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    19:23
  3. OTT
    A. DeBrincat(1)EN
    C. Giroux (2)
    wristxG 0.45
    2-5
    19:52

Penalties

WSH 15 PIM·OTT 15 PIM

1st

  • 8:06OTTJake Sanderson · Trippingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 8:54OTTTravis Hamonic · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 3:47WSHGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min
  • 3:47OTTTravis Hamonic · Roughingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 4:42WSHT.J. Oshie · Trippingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 6:29WSHT.J. Oshie · Slashingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 8:48WSHConor Sheary · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
  • 9:49OTTBrady Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 13:57OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:30OTTParker Kelly · Fightingdrawn by Connor McMichael5 min
  • 18:30WSHConnor McMichael · Fightingdrawn by Parker Kelly5 min
  • 19:47WSHAlex Ovechkin · High stickingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalWSH goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Shane Pinto, 3rd 5:53 — OTT 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Motte · Goal · xG 0.64A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.45T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.27D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.26T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.24D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.21J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.19T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.18C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.16J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.13T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.12S. Pinto · Goal · xG 0.11J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.10M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.10D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.10D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.09T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.06M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.06S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.06T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.05S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.05T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.00T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.00A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 4.8 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsOTT
2.22 G
All situations
3 G4.8
1.30 G
Even strength
1 G2.9
0.92 G
Power play
2 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH26%74%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.18 – 3.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsOTT
24
Shots on goal
44
36%
Faceoffs
64%
2/4
Power play
2/4
15
Penalty minutes
15
24
Hits
28
21
Blocked shots
12
6
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011-230.10130—24:01
9D. OrlovD011010.01120—22:45
8A. OvechkinL000-220.23302—19:59
3N. JensenD000010.02120—18:52
17D. StromeC000-110.240003618:07
73C. ShearyL011-100.05112—17:47
42M. FehérváryD000030.06200—17:10
56E. GustafssonD000-110.04120—17:09
20L. EllerC000-100.112003616:43
77T. OshieR101-220.313042016:36
90M. JohanssonL011-120.27100—16:02
91J. SnivelyC000020.1300010015:16
39A. ManthaR101-140.41310—14:50
57T. van RiemsdykD000-100.00030—14:11
26N. DowdC000-100.001104613:34
21G. HathawayR000-110.15322—12:06
59A. ProtasL000-210.06010—09:06
24C. McMichaelL000000.001355008:33
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)42393.9293.72+0.7258:57

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).