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Senators at Capitals
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸4
Washington Capitals
3
Final/OTTV NBCSWA, TSN5·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Washington Capitals 4-3 in overtime, Alex DeBrincat scoring at 1:31. The Senators came back from two goals down. The Capitals led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex DeBrincat's goal at 1:31 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were OTT 45, WSH 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.7 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 41 of 45 (.911). Three stars: 1. Alex DeBrincat (2 G), 2. Darcy Kuemper (41 saves, .911), 3. Dylan Strome (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    A. DeBrincat2 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    D. Kuemper41 saves, .911
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    D. Strome1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT01621711012445
WSHWSH043130600323

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(23)
    E. Gustafsson (15), G. Hathaway (6)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    1:15
  2. WSH
    D. Strome(7)
    C. Sheary (13), N. Jensen (14)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:37
  3. OTT
    J. Sanderson(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    8:30
  4. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(6)
    N. Jensen (15)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    15:56
  5. OTT
    T. Stützle(12)
    C. Giroux (16)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    2-3
    19:44

3rd period

  1. OTT
    A. DeBrincat(12)
    S. Pinto (7), D. Batherson (22)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +36 pts
    3-3
    14:26

Overtime

  1. OTT
    A. DeBrincat(13)
    C. Giroux (17)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    1:31

Penalties

OTT 4 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

2nd

  • 3:54WSHGarnet Hathaway · Slashingdrawn by Jake Sanderson2 min
  • 16:33OTTDerick Brassard · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Matt Irwin2 min
  • 16:33WSHMatt Irwin · Roughingdrawn by Derick Brassard2 min
  • 17:41OTTAlex DeBrincat · Holdingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalOTT goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Alex DeBrincat, OT 1:31 — OTT 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.20A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.20E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.18E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.17D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.16C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.15D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.15A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.13E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.12N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.09D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.08D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.08E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.07C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.06N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.02A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Alexeyev · Missed · xG 0.01S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 2.3 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsWSH
3.64 G
All situations
3 G2.3
3.24 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT72%28%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.61 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsWSH
45
Shots on goal
23
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/1
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
4
36
Hits
36
14
Blocked shots
12
0
Giveaways
15
14
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000030.13220—28:42
85J. SandersonD101+120.13020—22:44
24J. Bernard-DockerD000-120.07130—22:28
23T. HamonicD000+130.27210—20:42
18T. StützleC101-160.51300020:01
12A. DeBrincatR202+350.67202—19:31
28C. GirouxR022000.000006019:20
19D. BathersonR011+120.08100—18:29
7B. TkachukL000-250.448002518:14
57S. PintoC011+150.362104017:43
5N. HoldenD000+210.14010—17:12
61D. BrassardC000000.032025713:33
47M. KastelicC000020.074107811:35
16A. WatsonL000010.25300—11:33
45P. KellyC000050.22610010:38
27D. GambrellC000020.120207510:16
36J. LucchiniC000010.16000010:00
29D. HeatheringtonD000-200.02000—07:52
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(W)23203.8702.30-0.7061:31

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).