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Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators

Final/OTTV NBCSWA, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2 in overtime, Marcus Johansson scoring at 2:04. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Johansson's goal at 2:04 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were WSH 40, OTT 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Cam Talbot stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (2 A), 2. Cam Talbot (37 saves, .925), 3. Marcus Johansson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin2 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. Talbot37 saves, .925
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    M. Johansson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WSHWSH11211501112340
OTTOTT150711201225

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:50
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    7:01

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.69win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    5:25

3rd period

  1. OTT
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    3:04

Overtime

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.18win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    2:04

Penalties

WSH 12 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:39OTTClaude Giroux · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 11:49WSHTrevor van Riemsdyk · Hookingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 14:15OTTParker Kelly · Trippingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 14:59WSHJohn Carlson · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min

2nd

  • 3:17OTTDylan Gambrell · Interferencedrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

3rd

  • 0:18WSHSonny Milano · High sticking double minordrawn by Travis Hamonic4 min
  • 9:32WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 13:08WSHNicolas Aube-Kubel · High stickingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalWSH goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Marcus Johansson, OT 2:04 — WSH 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.17D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.16C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.11A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.11S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.10N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.09T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.07T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.07T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.07D. Gambrell · Missed · xG 0.07D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.05D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.02D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 2.0 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsOTT
4.13 G
All situations
2 G2.0
3.52 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH82%18%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.02 – 1.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsOTT
40
Shots on goal
25
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
30
25
Blocked shots
16
12
Giveaways
14
1
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9D. OrlovD011+110.17140—26:13
3N. JensenD000020.03140—25:02
74J. CarlsonD011-130.28132—24:22
56E. GustafssonD011030.27210—21:04
8A. OvechkinL022+160.71000—20:13
73C. ShearyL000+140.2300010019:00
20L. EllerC000+120.060104718:43
92E. KuznetsovC112-140.272021817:21
90M. JohanssonL101+120.320005016:29
17D. StromeC000010.221105016:17
57T. van RiemsdykD000000.00162—14:10
39A. ManthaR000-100.00120—12:54
15S. MilanoL101+120.70004—12:19
26N. DowdC000050.700205412:03
96N. Aube-KubelR000020.14102—11:00
52M. IrwinD000030.05310—10:53
21G. HathawayR000000.00000—10:51
59A. ProtasL000000.00000—06:48
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(W)25232.9201.97-0.0361:48

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).