Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2 in overtime, Marcus Johansson scoring at 2:04. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Johansson's goal at 2:04 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were WSH 40, OTT 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Cam Talbot stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (2 A), 2. Cam Talbot (37 saves, .925), 3. Marcus Johansson (1 G).
Three stars
- ★A. Ovechkin2 A

- ★★C. Talbot37 saves, .925

- ★★★M. Johansson1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-14:50
1-17:01
2nd period
2-15:25
3rd period
2-23:04
Overtime
3-22:04
Penalties
1st
- 6:39
Claude Giroux · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
- 11:49
Trevor van Riemsdyk · Hookingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
- 14:15
Parker Kelly · Trippingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
- 14:59
John Carlson · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
2nd
- 3:17
Dylan Gambrell · Interferencedrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
3rd
- 0:18
Sonny Milano · High sticking double minordrawn by Travis Hamonic4 min
- 9:32
Evgeny Kuznetsov · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
- 13:08
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · High stickingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Marcus Johansson, OT 2:04 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.13 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.0
- 3.52 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.3
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.7
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.02 – 1.97
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 40
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 44%
- Faceoffs
- 56%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/6
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 14
- Hits
- 30
- 25
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 12
- Giveaways
- 14
- 1
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
OTT leads 2-1
2@
5Final
3@
2OTthis game
4@
3OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
