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Flyers at Lightning
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸3
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
FinalTV ESPN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-2. The Flyers came back from two goals down. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noah Cates's goal at 12:44 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were PHI 24, TBL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (36 saves, .947), 2. Steven Stamkos (2 G), 3. Noah Cates (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Hart36 saves, .947
  2. ★★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos2 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    N. Cates1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI0611028324
TBLTBL010217011238

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. TBL
    S. Stamkos(5)PPG
    V. Namestnikov (3), N. Kucherov (4)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:25
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(6)PPG
    N. Kucherov (5), V. Hedman (3)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:12
  3. PHI
    S. Laughton(2)
    E. Zamula (1), M. Frost (1)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    10:43

3rd period

  1. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(1)PPG
    K. Hayes (4), T. DeAngelo (3)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    1:06
  2. PHI
    N. Cates(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +36 pts
    3-2
    12:44

Penalties

PHI 16 PIM·TBL 14 PIM

1st

  • 9:04TBLPatrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 9:04PHINicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min
  • 12:14TBLIan Cole · Hookingdrawn by Jackson Cates2 min

2nd

  • 1:00PHITravis Konecny · High stickingdrawn by Nick Perbix2 min
  • 2:31TBLCorey Perry · Fightingdrawn by Justin Braun5 min
  • 2:31PHIJustin Braun · Fightingdrawn by Corey Perry5 min
  • 2:31PHIZack MacEwen · Roughingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min

3rd

  • 0:25TBLSteven Stamkos · Hookingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min
  • 5:34PHIZack MacEwen · Holdingdrawn by Cal Foote2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalPHI goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Noah Cates, 3rd 12:44 — PHI 48% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Point · On goal · xG 0.18B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.18B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.18S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.16S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.15C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.15A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.15C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.14C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.14B. Point · On goal · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.13P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.12N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.11V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.11N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.10C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.09V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.09V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.09A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.06V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.06N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.05V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.04E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.04C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.04N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.04C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.04P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.04C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.04C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.04I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.03C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.02N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL2 G · 3.8 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsTBL
2.33 G
All situations
2 G3.8
1.92 G
Even strength
0 G3.0
0.41 G
Power play
2 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI27%73%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 3.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsTBL
24
Shots on goal
38
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/2
Power play
2/3
16
Penalty minutes
14
27
Hits
21
16
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77T. DeAngeloD011010.02030—24:53
6T. SanheimD000000.10330—24:19
9I. ProvorovD000000.00020—23:41
86J. FarabeeL000040.37310—20:30
25J. van RiemsdykL101+110.22000—20:18
11T. KonecnyR000+130.38202—19:37
13K. HayesR011010.190004318:29
61J. BraunD000000.00205—16:58
49N. CatesL101+110.171303716:18
21S. LaughtonC101+120.29510015:49
24N. SeelerD000+220.04100—15:16
57W. AllisonR000+120.06120—15:12
17Z. MacEwenR000030.20704—13:30
54E. ZamulaD011+220.05010—12:55
48M. FrostC011+110.150002712:41
59J. CatesC000010.031006710:02
58T. LaczynskiC000000.00000009:13
44N. DeslauriersL000000.02105—06:13
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)38362.9473.76+1.7660:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).