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Lightning at Flyers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
Philadelphia Flyers
1
FinalTV NBCSP, BSSUN·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Paul's goal at 7:55 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.9 to 1.2; shots on goal were TBL 27, PHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 90% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 21 of 22 (.955); Carter Hart stopped 23 of 27 (.852). Three stars: 1. Nick Paul (2 G), 2. Corey Perry (2 A), 3. Steven Stamkos (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Paul2 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    C. Perry2 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL1721713427
PHIPHI0902111122

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    N. Paul(10)PPG
    C. Perry (4), A. Killorn (12)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    16:02

2nd period

  1. TBL
    N. Paul(11)
    I. Cole (6), S. Stamkos (15)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    7:55
  2. TBL
    R. Colton(5)
    C. Perry (5)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    19:56

3rd period

  1. TBL
    I. Cole(2)
    E. Cernak (2), A. Vasilevskiy (1)
    wristxG 0.00win prob +1 pts
    4-0
    9:19
  2. PHI
    T. Konecny(8)
    T. Sanheim (6), T. DeAngelo (8)
    wristxG 0.07
    4-1
    11:23

Penalties

TBL 6 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:52PHITravis Sanheim · Trippingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min

2nd

  • 9:58PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 13:21PHIZack MacEwen · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 15:05TBLNick Paul · Hookingdrawn by Lukas Sedlak2 min

3rd

  • 5:06TBLAlex Killorn · Hookingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 16:36TBLIan Cole · Roughingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalTBL goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Paul, 2nd 7:55 — TBL 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.14T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.09T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.08T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.07K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.06S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.06N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.04N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.03T. Laczynski · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.01L. Sedlak · Missed · xG 0.01K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.01M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.00T. Laczynski · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI1 G · 1.2 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsPHI
3.94 G
All situations
1 G1.2
2.73 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
1.21 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL90%10%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.81 – 1.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsPHI
27
Shots on goal
22
65%
Faceoffs
35%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
29
11
Blocked shots
16
3
Giveaways
6
7
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000+230.16110—22:18
86N. KucherovR000010.25100—22:00
77V. HedmanD000010.07110—21:44
21B. PointC000030.840006720:54
38B. HagelL000020.521105020:11
28I. ColeD112+220.02202—18:26
20N. PaulL202+220.210228018:13
91S. StamkosC011+200.211008017:22
81E. CernakD011+100.01330—17:09
17A. KillornL011+220.42002—16:00
90V. NamestnikovC000010.01110013:44
14P. MaroonL000020.20200—13:05
24Z. BogosianD000-100.02200—12:44
41P. BellemareL000010.132208312:38
7H. FleuryD000010.04000—12:37
79R. ColtonC101010.280005012:21
10C. PerryR022030.47000—11:53
48N. PerbixD000020.04100—10:41
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)22211.9551.18+0.1860:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).