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Flyers at Lightning
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
FinalTV NBCSP+, BSSUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The Flyers scored first; the Lightning answered. The Lightning led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ross Colton's goal at 8:46 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were PHI 35, TBL 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 34 of 39 (.872), 2.2 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 33 of 35 (.943). Three stars: 1. Alex Killorn (2 G, 1 A), 2. Nikita Kucherov (2 G, 1 A), 3. Michael Eyssimont.

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Killorn2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    M. Eyssimont

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI17116012235
TBLTBL115311113539

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    M. Frost(12)
    J. Farabee (18), O. Tippett (16)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:52
  2. TBL
    A. Killorn(18)PPG
    N. Kucherov (66), M. Sergachev (36)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    1-1
    7:38

2nd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(24)PPG
    M. Sergachev (37), A. Killorn (30)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    0:34
  2. TBL
    R. Colton(15)
    T. Jeannot (12), N. Paul (14)
    pokexG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    8:46
  3. TBL
    A. Killorn(19)
    A. Cirelli (12), B. Hagel (28)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    10:49
  4. PHI
    B. Lemieux(1)
    C. York (12), R. Ristolainen (12)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    12:40

3rd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(25)PPG
    B. Point (35)
    backhandxG 0.27
    2-5
    17:38

Penalties

PHI 23 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:00PHIJoel Farabee · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 14:32PHITravis Sanheim · Trippingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 19:38PHIJoel Farabee · Boardingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min

2nd

  • 14:49TBLSteven Stamkos · Holdingdrawn by Cam York2 min
  • 18:41TBLMikhail Sergachev · High stickingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min

3rd

  • 5:46PHIJames van Riemsdyk · Hookingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
  • 6:41TBLAlex Killorn · Holdingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 17:20PHITony DeAngelo · Spearingdrawn by Corey Perry5 min
  • 17:20PHITony DeAngelo · Game misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalPHI goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Ross Colton, 2nd 8:46 — TBL 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.27S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.16A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.15N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.14A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.14S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.11B. Point · Missed · xG 0.11H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.10R. Colton · Goal · xG 0.10B. Point · Missed · xG 0.09N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.08A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.07R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.07A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.07M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.06N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.06M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.06A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.05M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.05R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.05M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.05A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.04A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.04N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.03N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.03E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.02M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.02R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL5 G · 2.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsTBL
2.32 G
All situations
5 G2.8
1.62 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.60 G
Power play
3 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI42%58%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsTBL
35
Shots on goal
39
38%
Faceoffs
63%
0/3
Power play
3/6
23
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
26
23
Blocked shots
17
6
Giveaways
7
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74O. TippettR011+190.52020—23:47
55R. RistolainenD011-110.09220—23:06
21S. LaughtonC000040.101301821:53
9I. ProvorovD000+110.03200—21:53
77T. DeAngeloD000020.100215—21:49
48M. FrostC101050.441103320:31
49N. CatesL000020.220103320:24
45C. YorkD011000.02130—17:56
13K. HayesR000020.070006716:16
25J. van RiemsdykL000010.27112—13:56
24N. SeelerD000000.03320—13:53
57W. AllisonR000020.08120—13:19
22B. LemieuxL101-120.09400—12:56
86J. FarabeeL011+100.0832410012:48
6T. SanheimD000030.22022—12:12
44N. DeslauriersL000000.00500—09:57
61J. BraunD000010.01200—08:52
58T. LaczynskiC000-100.00100006:25
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(L)39345.8722.82-2.1859:53

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).