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Predators at Stars
NHL

Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
1
Dallas Stars
▸5
FinalTV BSSW, BSSO·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Nashville Predators 5-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roope Hintz's goal at 0:39 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.9 to 2.8; shots on goal were NSH 30, DAL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 0.8 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Roope Hintz (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jake Oettinger (29 saves, .967), 3. Jason Robertson (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    R. Hintz2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger29 saves, .967
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH01311205130
DALDAL1102626522

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(1)SHG
    M. Heiskanen (1)
    snapxG 0.32win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    4:46

2nd period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(2)
    J. Pavelski (1), J. Robertson (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:39
  2. DAL
    M. Heiskanen(1)
    J. Robertson (3)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    7:48
  3. NSH
    N. Niederreiter(4)PPG
    M. Granlund (3), R. Johansen (2)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    18:20

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(1)
    R. Hintz (2), J. Pavelski (2)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    3:13
  2. DAL
    M. Marchment(3)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.43
    1-5
    18:47

Penalties

NSH 16 PIM·DAL 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:30DALRadek Faksa · Interferencedrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 5:28NSHCody Glass · Hookingdrawn by Jani Hakanpää2 min

2nd

  • 2:26DALEsa Lindell · Interferencedrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min
  • 6:00DALTy Dellandrea · Hookingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
  • 6:00NSHDante Fabbro · Holding the stickdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min
  • 10:59NSHMatt Duchene · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 10:59NSHMatt Duchene · Abuse of officials10 min
  • 16:18DALRyan Suter · Interferencedrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 17:43DALColin Miller · Trippingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalNSH goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Roope Hintz, 2nd 0:39 — DAL 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.43J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.35C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.32R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.32W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.22M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.22J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.19M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.18T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.17J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.17J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.16J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.13T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.13M. Heiskanen · Goal · xG 0.12W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.10T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.09J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.08R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.08W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.06M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.05R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.04J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.04J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.04T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.02R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.02N. Lundkvist · Missed · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL5 G · 3.9 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsDAL
2.81 G
All situations
4 G3.9
1.80 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH43%57%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.76 – 3.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsDAL
30
Shots on goal
22
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
0/2
16
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
13
18
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
11
10
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-340.48030—25:37
64M. GranlundC011-410.110005020:10
9F. ForsbergL000-320.15400—19:55
14M. EkholmD000-230.08020—18:16
92R. JohansenC011-210.302005618:11
22N. NiederreiterR101-220.19400—18:01
45A. CarrierD000020.09010—17:49
27R. McDonaghD000-210.06000—17:46
84T. JeannotL000-110.2530010017:13
57D. FabbroD000010.11122—16:53
95M. DucheneC000-220.280212016:37
13Y. TreninC000-110.0610010015:37
28E. TolvanenR000-110.06050—14:30
3J. LauzonD000-100.00020—14:18
10C. SissonsC000-110.141004013:35
8C. GlassC000030.270123312:23
36C. SmithR000020.03000—10:46
12Z. SanfordL000020.10100—09:28
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)21174.8103.18-0.8256:55

Season series

DAL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).