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Stars at Predators
NHL

Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸3
Nashville Predators
2
FinalTV BSSWX, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Nashville Predators 3-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roope Hintz's goal at 19:07 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 48% to 98%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 5.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were DAL 33, NSH 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Roope Hintz (2 G), 2. Juuse Saros (30 saves, .909), 3. Yakov Trenin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    R. Hintz2 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros30 saves, .909
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    Y. Trenin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL11214117333
NSHNSH0821307228

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(14)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.19win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:19

2nd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(10)
    A. Carrier (2), M. Ekholm (9)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    0:56
  2. DAL
    R. Hintz(17)PPG
    J. Robertson (27), M. Heiskanen (21)
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    2:15
  3. NSH
    Y. Trenin(3)SHG
    C. Smith (7), J. Lauzon (2)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    8:15

3rd period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(18)
    J. Benn (20), J. Pavelski (23)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +49 pts
    3-2
    19:07

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·NSH 12 PIM

1st

  • 14:39NSHDante Fabbro · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:02NSHColton Sissons · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:44DALJani Hakanpää · Interferencedrawn by Colton Sissons2 min

2nd

  • 0:39NSHTommy Novak · Trippingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 2:48DALRadek Faksa · Holdingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 6:41NSHRoman Josi · Holdingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 12:15DALNils Lundkvist · Slashingdrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min
  • 19:47NSHFilip Forsberg · Slashingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min

3rd

  • 14:20NSHJeremy Lauzon · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalDAL goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Roope Hintz, 3rd 19:07 — DAL 48% → 98%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.18M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.16A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.14N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.14F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.12D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.12T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.11T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.11T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.11M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.10M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.09Y. Trenin · Goal · xG 0.09M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.08R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.08M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.07T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.06J. Parssinen · Missed · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.05M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.04J. Parssinen · Missed · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.00M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 2.6 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsNSH
5.13 G
All situations
2 G2.6
3.12 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
1.41 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL77%23%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.35 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsNSH
33
Shots on goal
28
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/6
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
12
17
Hits
36
16
Blocked shots
21
7
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD011+110.08020—27:05
21J. RobertsonL011010.25000—21:03
16J. PavelskiC011020.101008019:52
53W. JohnstonC000-220.210103318:55
20R. SuterD000-200.03120—18:50
27M. MarchmentL000-120.36110—18:19
2J. HakanpääD000+220.18102—18:03
24R. HintzC202+150.931005017:55
23E. LindellD000+120.02230—17:46
5N. LundkvistD000-120.05022—17:23
14J. BennL112+230.844103116:12
91T. SeguinC000030.911205316:03
6C. MillerD000-100.00100—12:58
12R. FaksaC000020.43212012:16
10T. DellandreaC000+110.05100011:39
11L. GlendeningC000000.001102511:03
25J. KivirantaL000010.14000—09:22
42F. OlofssonL000040.49000—09:16
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)28262.9292.56+0.5660:00

Season series

DAL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).