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Predators at Stars
NHL

Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
1
Dallas Stars
▸5
FinalTV BSSWX, BSSO·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Nashville Predators 5-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Colin Miller's goal at 12:31 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were NSH 27, DAL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 1.5 goals below expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Robertson (1 G, 3 A), 2. Scott Wedgewood (26 saves, .963), 3. Colin Miller (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    S. Wedgewood26 saves, .963
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    C. Miller1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0100918127
DALDAL11026210526

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(35)
    J. Robertson (56), J. Pavelski (47)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:21

2nd period

  1. DAL
    C. Miller(5)
    R. Faksa (8), L. Glendening (3)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    12:31
  2. DAL
    J. Pavelski(25)PPG
    M. Heiskanen (56), J. Robertson (57)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +5 pts
    0-3
    16:07

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(43)PPG
    M. Heiskanen (57), J. Benn (41)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    0-4
    8:29
  2. DAL
    T. Seguin(20)
    J. Robertson (58), R. Suter (21)
    wristxG 0.10
    0-5
    14:23
  3. NSH
    C. Foote(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07
    1-5
    15:10

Penalties

NSH 10 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

2nd

  • 0:39DALJamie Benn · Hookingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 6:37NSHKevin Gravel · Trippingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min
  • 15:39NSHJohn Leonard · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min

3rd

  • 3:37NSHTyson Barrie · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 8:24NSHDante Fabbro · High stickingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min
  • 8:24NSHMark Jankowski · Roughingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min
  • 8:24DALColin Miller · Roughingdrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min
  • 16:38DALThomas Harley · Interferencedrawn by Michael McCarron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalNSH goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Colin Miller, 2nd 12:31 — DAL 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.24R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.22L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.20R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.19T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.17C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.15J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.15T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.14R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.14W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.13T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.12L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.11F. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Hakanpää · Missed · xG 0.11J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.10T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.10M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.09J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.08T. Dellandrea · Missed · xG 0.08C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.08J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.08E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.07R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.07J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.07T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.06E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.05R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.05J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.04C. Miller · Goal · xG 0.03C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03F. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL5 G · 3.5 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsDAL
1.71 G
All situations
5 G3.5
0.91 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
0.80 G
Power play
2 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH21%79%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.71 – 3.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsDAL
27
Shots on goal
26
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/2
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
12
11
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57D. FabbroD000-320.16012—22:22
22T. BarrieD000020.08002—21:56
27R. McDonaghD000-210.01020—19:50
77L. EvangelistaR000+110.03100—19:11
81S. StastneyD000010.01000—18:40
26P. TomasinoR000000.0811010018:09
82T. NovakC000+110.120004517:55
52C. FooteD101+120.08130—17:28
5K. GravelD000020.21112—17:24
8C. GlassC000-140.440007516:36
44K. SherwoodL000+120.1460010016:02
13Y. TreninC000-210.12300015:07
10C. SissonsC000-200.001104414:55
70E. AfanasyevL000-120.03010—14:34
17M. JankowskiL000020.010127812:51
71R. AsplundC000-210.08000011:34
47M. McCarronC000020.0830010011:25
43J. LeonardL000-110.04012—09:28
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)26215.8083.51-1.4960:00

Season series

DAL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).