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Ducks at Stars
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
2
Dallas Stars
▸4
FinalTV BSSWX, BSSC·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Robertson's goal at 9:56 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 59% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were ANA 21, DAL 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. John Gibson stopped 5 of 5 (1.000); Jake Oettinger stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Radek Faksa (2 A), 2. Thomas Harley (1 G), 3. Thomas Hodges (2 saves, .667).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    R. Faksa2 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    T. Harley1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    T. Hodges2 saves, .667

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA151709221
DALDAL0521024419

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    M. Comtois(6)
    S. Steel (14), J. Drysdale (28)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:33

2nd period

  1. DAL
    T. Harley(1)
    R. Faksa (13), J. Kiviranta (6)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    3:13
  2. DAL
    J. Hanley(2)
    R. Faksa (14), J. Hakanpää (8)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    5:45
  3. ANA
    T. Terry(37)
    A. Henrique (23), T. Zegras (38)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    15:41

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(41)PPG
    M. Heiskanen (31), R. Hintz (35)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +24 pts
    2-3
    9:56
  2. DAL
    V. Namestnikov(16)EN
    T. Seguin (25), J. Oettinger (2)
    wristxG 0.78win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:00

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·DAL 2 PIM

1st

  • 15:36ANAAndrej Sustr · Hookingdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min

2nd

  • 19:54DALThomas Harley · Interferencedrawn by Adam Henrique2 min

3rd

  • 9:22ANATrevor Zegras · Interferencedrawn by Luke Glendening2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalANA goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jason Robertson, 3rd 9:56 — DAL 59% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Namestnikov · Goal · xG 0.78J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.17M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.16J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.16D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.14A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.14J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.14J. Hanley · Goal · xG 0.12A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.12T. Harley · Goal · xG 0.11J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.09J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.09R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.07J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.07A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.07R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.06L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.06M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.04A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.02J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.02R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.02L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.01T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 2.9 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsDAL
1.72 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.42 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA43%57%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.72 – 2.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsDAL
21
Shots on goal
19
30%
Faceoffs
70%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
14
Hits
15
14
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22K. ShattenkirkD000-200.00050—23:26
19T. TerryR101-140.49000—21:12
46T. ZegrasC011050.592123321:03
5U. VaakanainenD000+120.08010—20:43
34J. DrysdaleD011+120.06010—20:11
76J. MahuraD000-210.01020—19:27
14A. HenriqueC011-110.110005819:18
12S. MilanoL000010.02100—17:46
92A. SustrD000000.02112—17:36
86S. BenoitD000020.10100—17:12
21I. LundestromC000-100.022001414:54
23S. SteelC011010.080102013:52
51D. SimonC000-100.00000013:52
44M. ComtoisL101010.06100—12:36
16Z. Aston-ReeseL000000.00110—11:33
53B. RobinsonR000000.00110—11:32
28V. LettieriC000010.08100011:19
72H. DrewD000000.00300—10:20
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson5501.0000.49+0.4920:00
41A. Stolarz1082.8001.34-0.6620:00
68T. Hodges(L)321.6670.27-0.7319:16

Season series

DAL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).