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Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks

Final/OTTV BSSW, KCOP-13·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2 in overtime, Jamie Benn scoring at 0:53. The Stars scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Benn's goal at 0:53 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.0 to 2.0; shots on goal were DAL 35, ANA 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 21 of 23 (.913); John Gibson stopped 32 of 35 (.914). Three stars: 1. Jamie Benn (1 G), 2. Miro Heiskanen (1 A), 3. Jamie Drysdale (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    M. Heiskanen1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Drysdale1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL1140911012335
ANAANA041611201223

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    R. Suter(6)PPG
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    9:59

2nd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.01win prob +23 pts
    1-1
    19:20

3rd period

  1. DAL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.16win prob +42 pts
    2-1
    15:51
  2. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +42 pts
    2-2
    16:39

Overtime

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.26win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    0:53

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·ANA 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:11ANAIsac Lundeström · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 16:45DALJoel Hanley · Interferencedrawn by Isac Lundeström2 min

2nd

  • 9:06DALAlexander Radulov · Trippingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min

3rd

  • 10:41DALAlexander Radulov · Trippingdrawn by Simon Benoit2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalDAL goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Jamie Benn, OT 0:53 — DAL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.25D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.15S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.14D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.12T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.12T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.11K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.11T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.10T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.10G. Mayhew · Missed · xG 0.09S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.09G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.08D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.08S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.07K. Shattenkirk · Goal · xG 0.07T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.04T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.04J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.03I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.03I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.03I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.03T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · Goal · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Sustr · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.01A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 2.0 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsANA
3.03 G
All situations
2 G2.0
2.72 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL68%32%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 2.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsANA
35
Shots on goal
23
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
26
9
Blocked shots
22
8
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD011+220.16020—27:23
20R. SuterD101-120.29010—26:10
3J. KlingbergD000-120.08200—21:10
21J. RobertsonL000030.22100—18:54
16J. PavelskiC000020.371007918:12
44J. HanleyD000-100.02002—18:09
24R. HintzC000-100.103106417:54
12R. FaksaC000+120.045006716:18
11L. GlendeningC000040.183005015:09
14J. BennL101050.432106414:07
5A. SekeraD101+120.18110—14:00
18M. RafflL000010.15100—13:52
47A. RadulovR000-120.29004—13:40
92V. NamestnikovC000020.142005013:35
2J. HakanpääD000-110.05230—13:19
91T. SeguinC011030.220002912:38
40J. PetersonC011010.01000012:25
43M. StudenicR000010.08000—09:44
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)23212.9132.03+0.0360:53

Season series

DAL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).