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Stars at Ducks
NHL

Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸3
Anaheim Ducks
2
FinalTV BSSW, BSSD·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jacob Peterson's goal at 12:36 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.1 to 3.0; shots on goal were DAL 32, ANA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.1 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Roope Hintz (1 G), 2. John Gibson (29 saves, .906), 3. Jason Robertson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Gibson29 saves, .906
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL19010213332
ANAANA0729012228

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    R. Faksa(4)
    L. Glendening (5), M. Raffl (9)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    14:05

2nd period

  1. ANA
    D. Grant(12)
    T. Zegras (32), K. Shattenkirk (23)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    3:54
  2. ANA
    T. Terry(31)
    D. Grant (8), T. Zegras (33)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    9:48

3rd period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(29)
    J. Robertson (30)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +29 pts
    2-2
    8:28
  2. DAL
    J. Peterson(12)
    J. Klingberg (34)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +36 pts
    3-2
    12:36

Penalties

DAL 2 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:50DALTyler Seguin · Trippingdrawn by Urho Vaakanainen2 min
  • 4:26ANASonny Milano · Holdingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 11:19ANATroy Terry · Slashingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min

3rd

  • 4:59ANAAndrej Sustr · Trippingdrawn by Jacob Peterson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalDAL goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Jacob Peterson, 3rd 12:36 — DAL 48% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.26S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.25D. Grant · Goal · xG 0.24U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.22R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.15T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.13D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.13G. Mayhew · Missed · xG 0.13V. Lettieri · Missed · xG 0.12G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.11M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.10K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.10T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.09S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.09T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.08T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.08G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.07D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.07M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.05T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.05S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.04T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.04M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.04K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.03T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.03S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.03T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.03D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.02T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.01V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.00G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 3.0 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsANA
4.13 G
All situations
2 G3.0
3.43 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL67%33%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.02 – 2.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsANA
32
Shots on goal
28
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
19
10
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000040.34110—24:30
3J. KlingbergD011+110.04010—23:10
23E. LindellD000+130.10440—21:35
4M. HeiskanenD000000.02000—19:56
16J. PavelskiC000060.973005018:16
18M. RafflL011+110.15000—17:03
12R. FaksaC101+120.301106717:02
21J. RobertsonL011020.29000—16:23
14J. BennL000010.222106316:22
11L. GlendeningC011+100.071006316:00
2J. HakanpääD000-120.09400—15:09
24R. HintzC101040.662103814:50
47A. RadulovR000+120.46110—14:38
91T. SeguinC000010.011026414:02
44J. HanleyD000+110.08100—13:30
40J. PetersonC101+110.12000012:37
34D. GurianovR000-100.01100—11:58
92V. NamestnikovC000-110.14100010:59
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)28262.9293.05+1.0560:00

Season series

DAL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).