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Red Wings at Devils
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸5
New Jersey Devils
3
FinalTV MSG+, BSDET·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the New Jersey Devils 5-3. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pius Suter's goal at 10:33 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 5.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were DET 35, NJD 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Magnus Hellberg stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.6 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Michael Rasmussen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Moritz Seider (1 G), 3. Fabian Zetterlund (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    M. Rasmussen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    M. Seider1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    F. Zetterlund1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET19115311535
NJDNJD191618323

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    M. Rasmussen(15)
    O. Sundqvist (15), J. Walman (7)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:08
  2. NJD
    D. Mercer(17)
    F. Zetterlund (5)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    17:14

2nd period

  1. DET
    M. Seider(7)
    S. Gagner (17), M. Rasmussen (12)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    6:30
  2. NJD
    N. Foote(3)
    D. Hamilton (21), J. Boqvist (13)
    snapxG 0.37win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    15:38

3rd period

  1. DET
    J. Veleno(8)
    T. Bertuzzi (32), L. Raymond (34)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +25 pts
    3-2
    0:54
  2. NJD
    F. Zetterlund(3)
    N. Hischier (39), J. Bratt (47)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +28 pts
    3-3
    6:57
  3. DET
    P. Suter(15)
    J. Vrana (6), F. Hronek (33)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +33 pts
    4-3
    10:33
  4. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(30)EN
    S. Gagner (18)
    wristxG 0.88win prob +3 pts
    5-3
    19:50

Penalties

DET 2 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

2nd

  • 12:05DETOlli Juolevi · Interferencedrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min

3rd

  • 2:38NJDP.K. Subban · Interferencedrawn by Turner Elson2 min
  • 14:31NJDDawson Mercer · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalDET goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Pius Suter, 3rd 10:33 — DET 48% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Foote · Goal · xG 0.37N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.19Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.18J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.15F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.14Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.12J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.12F. Zetterlund · Goal · xG 0.12D. Mercer · Goal · xG 0.12D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.10N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.10F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.08J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.08N. Foote · Missed · xG 0.07R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.06J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.05N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.05J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.04P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.03K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.02P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01N. Okhotiuk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.01N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01
NJD3 G · 2.4 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNJD
5.14 G
All situations
3 G2.4
2.34 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET52%48%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 2.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNJD
35
Shots on goal
23
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
18
18
Blocked shots
10
3
Giveaways
9
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59T. BertuzziL112053.46020—23:51
53M. SeiderD101+120.05220—20:56
17F. HronekD011+210.04010—20:43
24P. SuterC101+220.020103620:00
90J. VelenoC101-140.260002918:14
23L. RaymondL011-120.08100—18:08
82J. OesterleD000+110.01200—18:04
8J. WalmanD011+150.39000—17:15
70O. SundqvistC011+100.023006717:11
89S. GagnerC022+320.200105016:58
65D. DeKeyserD000010.05110—15:55
28G. LindstromD000-110.02020—15:37
15J. VranaL011+120.06020—15:23
27M. RasmussenC112+140.333206314:15
57T. ElsonC000010.03010013:43
84O. JuoleviD000010.01132—11:29
22M. StephensC000000.001007110:53
42K. CriscuoloC000010.09000009:25
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45M. Hellberg(W)23203.8702.40-0.6060:00

Season series

DET leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).