Skip to content
Devils at Red Wings
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
2
Detroit Red Wings
▸5
FinalTV MSG+, BSDET·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Larkin's goal at 11:48 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 2.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were NJD 33, DET 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Akira Schmid stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.4 goals below expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 31 of 33 (.939). Three stars: 1. Dylan Larkin (3 G, 1 A), 2. Tyler Bertuzzi (2 G), 3. Moritz Seider (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    D. Larkin3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    T. Bertuzzi2 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    M. Seider1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD11318012233
DETDET11031218530

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(13)
    F. Hronek (13)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    15:39
  2. NJD
    M. McLeod(2)
    J. Vesey (3), J. Siegenthaler (8)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:11

2nd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(14)
    V. Namestnikov (7), P. Suter (10)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    11:48
  2. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(11)
    M. Seider (18)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    12:27
  3. DET
    D. Larkin(15)
    K. Criscuolo (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    15:47
  4. NJD
    D. Mercer(8)SHG
    D. Severson (6)
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    17:25

3rd period

  1. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(12)
    D. Larkin (14), L. Raymond (18)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    14:07

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·DET 6 PIM

2nd

  • 5:23NJDKevin Bahl · Holdingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 6:34NJDDougie Hamilton · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 16:07DETFilip Hronek · Roughingdrawn by Michael McLeod2 min
  • 16:07NJDMichael McLeod · Roughingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
  • 16:07NJDMichael McLeod · Roughingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min

3rd

  • 8:31DETTyler Bertuzzi · Cross checkingdrawn by Mason Geertsen2 min
  • 19:58DETTaro Hirose · Trippingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNJD goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan Larkin, 2nd 11:48 — DET 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.34P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.18T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.16D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.15P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.14P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.14T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.13D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.11A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.10V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.10D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.10J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.09J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.09K. Criscuolo · On goal · xG 0.07F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.07J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.06D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.05A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.05V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.05V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.05V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.05P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.04K. Criscuolo · Missed · xG 0.04F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.04R. Barber · On goal · xG 0.04R. Barber · Missed · xG 0.03A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.02S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02R. Barber · On goal · xG 0.02G. Lindstrom · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.00
DET5 G · 2.6 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsDET
1.92 G
All situations
5 G2.6
1.71 G
Even strength
5 G2.4
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD36%64%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsDET
33
Shots on goal
30
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
10
14
Blocked shots
16
1
Giveaways
17
0
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD011030.07110—29:01
71J. SiegenthalerD011+100.00130—26:48
86J. HughesC000-440.48010020:45
7D. HamiltonD000-440.08012—20:36
24T. SmithD000-310.04010—18:52
37P. ZachaC000-130.193006017:15
18D. MercerC101040.200003717:13
16J. VeseyL011-120.100205016:48
90T. TatarL000-110.13020—16:17
67M. StudenicR000010.17000—15:49
20M. McLeodC101+140.225045415:35
11A. JohnssonL000-110.05000—15:29
14N. BastianR000020.08700—14:48
88K. BahlD000010.02122—13:27
17Y. SharangovichC000-100.000006712:22
59J. KuokkanenC000-200.04000011:59
55M. GeertsenL000020.04310—10:56
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Schmid(L)30255.8332.64-2.3660:00

Season series

DET leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).