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Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV MSG+ 2, BSDETX·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the New Jersey Devils 3-0. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oskar Sundqvist's goal at 15:48 of the first period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 46% to 61%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.1 to 2.8; shots on goal were DET 24, NJD 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 17 of 17 (1.000), 2.8 goals saved above expected; Andrew Hammond stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Nedeljkovic (17 saves, 1.000), 2. Andrew Hammond (21 saves, .955), 3. Oskar Sundqvist (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    A. Nedeljkovic17 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NJD
    A. Hammond21 saves, .955
  3. ★★★
    DET
    O. Sundqvist1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET170928324
NJDNJD040508017

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    snapxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    15:48

3rd period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.61win prob +7 pts
    2-0
    17:51
  2. DET
    A. Erne (13)
    backhandxG 0.47
    3-0
    19:47

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:28NJDMichael McLeod · Cross checkingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min

2nd

  • 5:53DETJakub Vrana · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min
  • 9:00DETJakub Vrana · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min

3rd

  • 2:21NJDPavel Zacha · Trippingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min
  • 9:48NJDNathan Bastian · Slashingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalDET goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Oskar Sundqvist, 1st 15:48 — DET 46% → 61%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.36N. Foote · On goal · xG 0.24P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.23D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.18J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.18P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.17N. Foote · Missed · xG 0.16T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.14Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.14D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.11T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.11D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.09Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.08P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.08J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.06J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.05D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.05P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.03K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.02T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kuokkanen · Missed · xG 0.01
NJD0 G · 2.8 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNJD
4.11 G
All situations
0 G2.8
2.21 G
Even strength
0 G2.6
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET53%47%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNJD
24
Shots on goal
17
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
17
5
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000+200.00120—22:45
59T. BertuzziL112+241.21300—22:22
17F. HronekD000+140.21000—20:59
89S. GagnerC000000.03000019:32
24P. SuterC000+140.670005019:26
23L. RaymondL000000.13100—18:40
65D. DeKeyserD011+200.00000—18:35
8J. WalmanD000+100.03210—17:42
90J. VelenoC000010.021007517:28
27M. RasmussenC101+210.553106716:02
70O. SundqvistC112+320.290004315:30
28G. LindstromD000000.00010—15:29
15J. VranaL000020.30004—15:03
84O. JuoleviD000020.06000—12:38
73A. ErneL011+120.22100—12:29
25T. HiroseL000020.41100—12:23
22M. StephensC000000.001006710:29
18M. StaalD000000.00000—09:24
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(W)171701.0002.80+2.8059:04

Season series

DET leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).