Skip to content

Utah Mammoth at Dallas Stars

Final/OTTV BSAZX, BSSWX·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Dallas Stars 4-3 in overtime, Travis Boyd scoring at 1:43. The Coyotes came back from three goals down. The Stars led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Boyd's goal at 1:43 of overtime, which took the Coyotes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.2 to 3.5; shots on goal were ARI 37, DAL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Harri Sateri stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Shayne Gostisbehere (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tyler Seguin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Barrett Hayton (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    S. Gostisbehere1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    T. Seguin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    B. Hayton1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ARIARI0140731511437
DALDAL271180301329

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    slapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:42
  2. DAL
    deflectedxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:48

2nd period

  1. DAL
    slapxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    2:58

3rd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    3:43
  2. ARI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    7:20
  3. ARI
    B. Hayton(10)PPG
    snapxG 0.15win prob +31 pts
    3-3
    11:58

Overtime

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.17win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    1:43

Penalties

ARI 8 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:31DALRadek Faksa · Hookingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 19:12ARIAntoine Roussel · Cross checkingdrawn by Jani Hakanpää2 min

2nd

  • 1:49ARIKyle Capobianco · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 2:44ARIAntoine Roussel · Trippingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min
  • 16:00ARIKyle Capobianco · Cross checkingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min

3rd

  • 10:26DALMichael Raffl · Boardingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 11:18DALRyan Suter · Cross checkingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalARI goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Travis Boyd, OT 1:43 — ARI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.29R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.28T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.19J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.17R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.16D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.15R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.14J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.14M. Heiskanen · Goal · xG 0.14L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.13J. Peterson · On goal · xG 0.11D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.11D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.10T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.10D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.10J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.09L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.09J. Peterson · On goal · xG 0.09A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.08M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.07J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.07D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.07L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.07M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.06J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.06E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.06M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.06J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.05J. Peterson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.04J. Hakanpää · Goal · xG 0.04J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.04J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.02T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.01T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.01L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 4.2 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsDAL
3.54 G
All situations
3 G4.2
2.83 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.61 G
Power play
1 G1.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI40%60%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.35 – 4.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsDAL
37
Shots on goal
29
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
20
15
Blocked shots
6
9
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86A. StralmanD101+120.19010—25:11
62J. MoserD000-110.11000—23:36
14S. GostisbehereD112+120.12230—21:15
8N. SchmaltzC011-140.18020020:15
29B. HaytonC123030.231103918:49
81P. KesselR011020.24000—17:48
72T. BoydC101010.171005017:35
77V. SoderstromD000020.09320—16:17
75K. CapobiancoD011000.00014—16:07
73J. JenikC000060.82100014:47
54C. DineenD000030.08100—14:31
17A. GalchenyukC000030.411005014:21
22J. McBainC000+100.005404314:17
21L. ErikssonL000+100.00010—14:01
13N. SmithC000010.390003813:12
26A. RousselL000+140.25104—13:04
53M. CarconeL000000.00000—12:02
38L. O'BrienC000030.19300010:54
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Sateri(W)29263.8974.24+1.2461:41

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).