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Stars at Coyotes
NHL

Dallas Stars at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸3
Utah Mammoth
2
FinalTV BSAZ+, BSSW+·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Utah Mammoth 3-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Robertson's goal at 8:57 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were DAL 29, ARI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Scott Wedgewood stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Jason Robertson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Roope Hintz (1 G), 3. Travis Boyd (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    T. Boyd1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL21411005329
ARIARI1911107227

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(7)
    J. Pavelski (7), J. Robertson (8)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:54
  2. ARI
    A. Roussel(2)
    L. Eriksson (2), A. Stralman (2)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:54
  3. DAL
    J. Peterson(3)
    R. Faksa (5), A. Radulov (8)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    18:36

2nd period

  1. ARI
    T. Boyd(5)
    K. Capobianco (3), P. Kessel (8)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    4:24
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(5)
    A. Sekera (2), J. Pavelski (8)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +19 pts
    3-2
    8:57

Penalties

DAL 4 PIM·ARI 2 PIM

2nd

  • 10:32DALAndrej Sekera · Trippingdrawn by Travis Boyd2 min
  • 11:35ARIBarrett Hayton · Trippingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min
  • 14:55DALMiro Heiskanen · Hookingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalDAL goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Jason Robertson, 2nd 8:57 — DAL 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.33T. Boyd · Goal · xG 0.17L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.14A. Ladd · Missed · xG 0.13L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.10A. Roussel · Goal · xG 0.10B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.09A. Ladd · Missed · xG 0.08L. Eriksson · Missed · xG 0.07A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.07L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.06L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.04P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.03K. Capobianco · Missed · xG 0.03B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02K. Capobianco · On goal · xG 0.02L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mayo · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.00J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI2 G · 1.9 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsARI
2.53 G
All situations
2 G1.9
2.23 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL62%38%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 1.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsARI
29
Shots on goal
27
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
22
Hits
19
16
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD000+130.06600—27:12
4M. HeiskanenD000050.04142—27:08
20R. SuterD000-100.00110—23:09
3J. KlingbergD000020.05020—19:01
12R. FaksaC011020.131206317:29
21J. RobertsonL112+120.16000—17:16
16J. PavelskiC022+110.220208617:02
91T. SeguinC000000.000006316:25
18M. RafflL000020.22000—16:03
24R. HintzC101+130.631004315:55
14J. BennL000010.092105615:51
11L. GlendeningC000020.411005014:29
47A. RadulovR011000.00120—13:49
34D. GurianovR000000.06100—12:36
2J. HakanpääD000+110.01400—12:27
25J. KivirantaL000020.16210—11:07
5A. SekeraD011+120.03012—10:34
40J. PetersonC101010.24100008:27
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(W)27252.9261.91-0.0960:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).