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Coyotes at Stars
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
1
Dallas Stars
▸4
FinalTV BSAZ+, BSSW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Utah Mammoth 4-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jacob Peterson's goal at 9:01 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 52% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.5 to 1.2; shots on goal were ARI 19, DAL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.5 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 18 of 19 (.947). Three stars: 1. Jacob Peterson (1 G), 2. Jamie Benn (2 G, 1 A), 3. Braden Holtby (18 saves, .947).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Peterson1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Benn2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    B. Holtby18 saves, .947

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI091505119
DALDAL1708312427

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(11)
    J. Robertson (11)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:48

2nd period

  1. ARI
    S. Gostisbehere(4)
    C. Keller (11), P. Kessel (11)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    3:09

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Peterson(4)
    A. Radulov (9), J. Benn (5)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +30 pts
    1-2
    9:01
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(6)PPG
    D. Gurianov (4), R. Suter (10)
    backhandxG 0.30win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    15:14
  3. DAL
    J. Benn(7)
    A. Radulov (10)
    snapxG 0.23
    1-4
    17:08

Penalties

ARI 8 PIM·DAL 2 PIM

1st

  • 3:06ARITravis Boyd · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min
  • 10:55ARIKyle Capobianco · Trippingdrawn by Jacob Peterson2 min

2nd

  • 6:18ARILiam O'Brien · High stickingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 9:43DALJoel Kiviranta · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Capobianco2 min

3rd

  • 13:17ARILoui Eriksson · Trippingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalARI goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jacob Peterson, 3rd 9:01 — DAL 52% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.30J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.23J. Peterson · Goal · xG 0.20L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.20T. Kero · Missed · xG 0.16R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.13J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.13R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.13J. Peterson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.12J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.11J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.09D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Peterson · On goal · xG 0.08M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.08D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.05J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.05J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.03R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.02L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.02J. Peterson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.00L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 2.5 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsDAL
1.21 G
All situations
4 G2.5
1.21 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 58 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI25%75%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.23 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsDAL
19
Shots on goal
27
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
21
Hits
19
20
Blocked shots
11
10
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000-110.08040—23:13
14S. GostisbehereD101-120.22110—21:09
61D. MayoD000000.00220—20:32
46I. LyubushkinD000-100.00230—19:20
86A. StralmanD000000.00000—18:22
9C. KellerR011-110.060005017:16
67L. CrouseL000020.12420—17:10
29B. HaytonC000010.093304417:05
72T. BoydC000010.030124117:02
75K. CapobiancoD000-110.01012—16:36
81P. KesselR011-110.02010—16:00
36C. FischerR000010.05100—14:23
16A. LaddL000-110.0111010013:21
26A. RousselL000000.001006712:55
21L. ErikssonL000030.16002—12:54
17A. GalchenyukC000-220.140005012:34
10R. DzingelC000000.000004311:16
38L. O'BrienC000-120.25612010:58
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31S. Wedgewood(L)27234.8522.54-1.4660:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).