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Flames at Kraken
NHL

Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸4
Seattle Kraken
1
FinalTV ROOT-NW, SNW·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Seattle Kraken 4-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Stone's goal at 8:39 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 66% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were CGY 29, SEA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jacob Markstrom (27 saves, .964), 2. Noah Hanifin (4 A), 3. Karson Kuhlman (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    CGY
    N. Hanifin4 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    K. Kuhlman1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY21019110429
SEASEA1809011128

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    B. Coleman(14)
    N. Hanifin (29), R. Andersson (40)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:55
  2. SEA
    K. Kuhlman(3)
    M. Geekie (15), J. McCann (16)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:00
  3. CGY
    T. Lewis(6)
    N. Hanifin (30), D. Dube (13)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    19:43

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Stone(2)PPG
    N. Hanifin (31), A. Mangiapane (18)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    8:39

3rd period

  1. CGY
    T. Toffoli(20)EN
    D. Dube (14), N. Hanifin (32)
    wristxG 0.90win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    18:33

Penalties

CGY 10 PIM·SEA 8 PIM

2nd

  • 6:39SEACarson Soucy · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 12:42CGYMichael Stone · Holdingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min
  • 13:49CGYTyler Toffoli · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 16:38CGYRasmus Andersson · Holdingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min

3rd

  • 3:47SEACarson Soucy · Hookingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
  • 6:31SEAVince Dunn · Interferencedrawn by Brett Ritchie2 min
  • 10:27SEAWill Borgen · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Carpenter2 min
  • 12:59CGYserved by A. Mangiapane · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:06CGYJohnny Gaudreau · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalCGY goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Michael Stone, 2nd 8:39 — CGY 66% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.31D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.15K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.12A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.11J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.09J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.09V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.09V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.08J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.08R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.07J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.07A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.07C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.06R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.06M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.06J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.06K. Lind · On goal · xG 0.06J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.05V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.03K. Lind · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.03D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kuhlman · Goal · xG 0.03J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.03D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.02W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA1 G · 2.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsSEA
4.13 G
All situations
1 G2.2
1.62 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY53%47%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsSEA
29
Shots on goal
28
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/4
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
26
Hits
17
18
Blocked shots
10
8
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. HanifinD044+220.12210—22:25
4R. AnderssonD011+200.42232—21:54
28E. LindholmC000020.071005021:13
8C. TanevD000000.00110—20:00
11M. BacklundC000+140.681105019:56
26M. StoneD101030.18232—19:06
16N. ZadorovD000000.00220—17:39
73T. ToffoliC101+131.06012017:27
19M. TkachukL000000.00110—16:59
13J. GaudreauL000010.18012—16:48
88A. MangiapaneL011030.44200—16:11
3C. MackeyD000020.18210—15:19
29D. DubeC022+310.06000013:24
20B. ColemanL101+240.20200—13:23
22T. LewisC101+230.243007512:42
18R. CarpenterC000-110.19120009:18
17M. LucicL000-100.12210—09:05
24B. RitchieR000-100.00200—07:59
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)28271.9642.16+1.1659:12

Season series

CGY leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).