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Flames at Kraken
NHL

Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸6
Seattle Kraken
4
FinalTV ROOT-NW, SNW·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Seattle Kraken 6-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 17:34 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 48% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were CGY 40, SEA 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 2.1 goals below expected; Chris Driedger stopped 34 of 39 (.872), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Giordano (1 G, 2 A), 2. Calle Jarnkrok (1 G, 2 A), 3. Johnny Gaudreau (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    M. Giordano1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    C. Jarnkrok1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY115214311640
SEASEA1101725422

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    M. Giordano(4)
    C. Blackwell (2), C. Jarnkrok (5)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:48
  2. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(11)
    N. Zadorov (3), M. Tkachuk (12)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:46

2nd period

  1. SEA
    C. Jarnkrok(3)PPG
    J. McCann (6), M. Giordano (6)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    0:09
  2. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(12)PPG
    S. Monahan (10), M. Tkachuk (13)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    2-2
    3:54
  3. CGY
    M. Lucic(8)
    C. Tanev (7)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +21 pts
    3-2
    14:56

3rd period

  1. SEA
    Y. Gourde(8)
    C. Blackwell (3), C. Jarnkrok (6)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +27 pts
    3-3
    4:59
  2. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(18)PPG
    O. Kylington (13), N. Hanifin (9)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +37 pts
    4-3
    16:51
  3. SEA
    J. McCann(13)
    M. Giordano (7), J. Eberle (10)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +44 pts
    4-4
    17:21
  4. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(13)
    J. Gaudreau (21)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +45 pts
    5-4
    17:34
  5. CGY
    N. Hanifin(3)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.32win prob +3 pts
    6-4
    19:40

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·SEA 12 PIM

1st

  • 1:55CGYSean Monahan · Cross checkingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 10:36SEAChris Driedger · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:23CGYRasmus Andersson · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min

2nd

  • 3:26SEAMax McCormick · Cross checkingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
  • 8:29CGYMilan Lucic · Roughingdrawn by Will Borgen2 min
  • 8:29SEAWill Borgen · Roughingdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min
  • 15:41SEACarson Soucy · Interferencedrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 16:48SEAAdam Larsson · Holdingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min

3rd

  • 15:24SEAYanni Gourde · High stickingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalCGY goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, 3rd 17:34 — CGY 48% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.20Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.20J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.19C. Jarnkrok · Goal · xG 0.14J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.11J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.11J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.11J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.10M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.08C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.07A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.07C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.06M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.05M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.05C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.04C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.03C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.03W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · Goal · xG 0.02C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.01A. True · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA4 G · 1.9 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsSEA
3.25 G
All situations
4 G1.9
1.33 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
1.22 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY67%33%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.81 – 1.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsSEA
40
Shots on goal
22
60%
Faceoffs
40%
2/5
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
12
30
Hits
34
14
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000+250.25112—22:52
55N. HanifinD112+220.37230—22:04
13J. GaudreauL213+350.35000—21:58
28E. LindholmC000+350.420107020:20
58O. KylingtonD011040.28210—19:20
8C. TanevD011000.00340—17:45
19M. TkachukL123+330.2541010017:33
44E. GudbransonD000-130.05100—17:07
11M. BacklundC000-110.033006216:39
16N. ZadorovD011-130.19300—15:56
23S. MonahanC011-110.091024614:54
17M. LucicL101+120.32102—14:15
29D. DubeC000030.261004514:04
20B. ColemanL000-200.00110—14:00
88A. MangiapaneL101+120.22100—13:34
22T. LewisC000-210.023205011:45
18T. PitlickC000-100.0720010010:50
15B. RichardsonR000-100.0010010009:18
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)22184.8181.92-2.0860:00

Season series

CGY leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).