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Kraken at Flames
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
3
Calgary Flames
▸5
FinalTV ROOT-NW, SN360·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Seattle Kraken 5-3. The Flames came back from two goals down. The Kraken led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noah Hanifin's goal at 14:10 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 57% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.3 to 2.8; shots on goal were SEA 22, CGY 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Chris Driedger stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.3 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 12 of 15 (.800), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (2 A), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (3 G), 3. Noah Hanifin (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk3 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    N. Hanifin1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA182707322
CGYCGY11209410531

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    R. Donato(15)
    M. Beniers (1), V. Dunn (23)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    14:13
  2. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(35)
    N. Hanifin (33), R. Andersson (41)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:51

2nd period

  1. SEA
    V. Rask(7)
    Y. Gourde (25), K. Lind (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    3:06
  2. SEA
    A. Larsson(7)
    A. Wennberg (24), J. Donskoi (17)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    17:10

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(36)PPG
    J. Gaudreau (66), R. Andersson (42)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    3:10
  2. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(31)
    E. Lindholm (36), C. Mackey (1)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +28 pts
    3-3
    5:33
  3. CGY
    N. Hanifin(8)PPG
    M. Stone (4), M. Backlund (23)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +32 pts
    3-4
    14:10
  4. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(37)EN
    J. Gaudreau (67)
    wristxG 0.55win prob +2 pts
    3-5
    19:17

Penalties

SEA 20 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 16:59SEAVince Dunn · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 14:31SEAAdam Larsson · High stickingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min

3rd

  • 1:29CGYConnor Mackey · Interferencedrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 2:07SEAVince Dunn · Elbowingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 2:14SEAYanni Gourde · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 13:11SEAJoonas Donskoi · Trippingdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
  • 16:22CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Kneeingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min
  • 19:17SEAJared McCann · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalSEA goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Noah Hanifin, 3rd 14:10 — CGY 57% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.55M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.26E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.22A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.20A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.18E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.17E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.16A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.14E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.13M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.09J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.08D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.07M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.06C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.05R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · Goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.03C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY5 G · 3.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsCGY
2.83 G
All situations
4 G3.3
2.33 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.20 G
Power play
2 G1.5
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA52%48%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 2.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsCGY
22
Shots on goal
31
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
2/5
20
Penalty minutes
4
11
Hits
27
19
Blocked shots
7
2
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29V. DunnD011-110.28104—23:27
6A. LarssonD101+130.30132—23:09
28C. SoucyD000+120.29100—19:06
7J. EberleR000030.32000—18:33
24J. OleksiakD000000.00230—18:25
9R. DonatoC101020.20000018:02
10M. BeniersC011010.181004217:10
3W. BorgenD000020.09140—17:02
21A. WennbergC011-100.000104017:00
37Y. GourdeC011000.000124216:09
8C. FleuryD000000.09230—16:03
25K. KuhlmanC000-140.34100015:56
16J. McCannL000-100.0000106715:40
49V. RaskC101020.23000012:27
73K. LindR011010.11130—12:07
15R. SheahanC000010.240006011:11
72J. DonskoiR011+100.00012—11:07
67M. GeekieC000000.120005010:00
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60C. Driedger(L)30264.8672.74-1.2659:24

Season series

CGY leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).