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Kraken at Flames
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
1
Calgary Flames
▸2
FinalTV ROOT-NW, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Seattle Kraken 2-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Lindholm's goal at 7:31 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were SEA 23, CGY 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Elias Lindholm (1 G, 1 A), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A), 3. Philipp Grubauer (35 saves, .946).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    P. Grubauer35 saves, .946

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA160809123
CGYCGY11101818237

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(24)
    E. Lindholm (26), N. Zadorov (10)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:02
  2. SEA
    C. Jarnkrok(10)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.39win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    12:26

3rd period

  1. CGY
    E. Lindholm(22)
    C. Tanev (14), M. Tkachuk (32)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +29 pts
    1-2
    7:31

Penalties

SEA 7 PIM·CGY 9 PIM

2nd

  • 13:57CGYTrevor Lewis · Trippingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min

3rd

  • 0:05SEARyan Donato · Fightingdrawn by Blake Coleman5 min
  • 0:05CGYBlake Coleman · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Donato5 min
  • 20:00CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
  • 20:00SEAMark Giordano · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalSEA goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Elias Lindholm, 3rd 7:31 — CGY 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.25R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.18B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.17M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.16A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.14A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.14J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.11E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.11B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.11A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.09B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.08M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ruzicka · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 2.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsCGY
1.81 G
All situations
2 G2.6
1.31 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA34%66%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsCGY
23
Shots on goal
37
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
0/0
7
Penalty minutes
9
16
Hits
15
10
Blocked shots
11
6
Giveaways
12
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD000-130.23132—21:11
6A. LarssonD000-120.04220—20:51
7J. EberleR000-120.20000—19:42
29V. DunnD000010.08110—19:10
55J. LauzonD000000.00320—19:08
37Y. GourdeC000+100.000002719:00
90M. JohanssonL000-120.29000—18:59
21A. WennbergC000-100.001004718:58
24J. OleksiakD000030.16000—18:30
4H. FleuryD000020.04020—17:13
19C. JarnkrokC101+110.391006017:11
16J. McCannL000-120.171005615:59
22M. AppletonC000+110.03100015:53
9R. DonatoC000-100.00005013:52
72J. DonskoiR000-100.00200—13:32
27A. CzarnikC000020.12100011:49
43C. BlackwellC000020.032002511:07
15R. SheahanC000000.000006709:42
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)37352.9462.62+0.6258:13

Season series

CGY leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).