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Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Seattle Kraken 4-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Kyrou's goal at 2:34 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 77% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.6 to 3.3; shots on goal were SEA 29, STL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Chris Driedger stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Ville Husso stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Robert Thomas (1 G), 2. Justin Faulk (1 G), 3. Brayden Schenn (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Faulk1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    B. Schenn2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA0911109129
STLSTL111113212436

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    R. Thomas(16)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    8:38

2nd period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn (29), N. Leddy (19)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    7:56
  2. SEA
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    9:55

3rd period

  1. STL
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    2:34
  2. STL
    B. Saad (22), C. Rosen (4)
    wristxG 0.96
    1-4
    18:45

Penalties

SEA 12 PIM·STL 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:59SEAJoonas Donskoi · Trippingdrawn by Nathan Walker2 min
  • 5:33SEAJared McCann · High sticking double minordrawn by Colton Parayko4 min

2nd

  • 13:17SEAJoonas Donskoi · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 19:26SEACarson Soucy · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

3rd

  • 12:11SEAAlexander Wennberg · Hookingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min
  • 15:16STLAlexey Toropchenko · Holdingdrawn by Will Borgen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalSEA goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Kyrou, 3rd 2:34 — STL 77% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.96M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.21R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.19B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.18J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.17V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.17R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.15V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.15B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.14V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.13J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.12R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.11J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.11D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.11I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.10R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.09J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.09N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.09I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.08R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.07C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.06M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.05M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.05R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.03B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02C. Rosen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Scandella · Missed · xG 0.02N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 4.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsSTL
3.31 G
All situations
3 G4.6
2.71 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.20 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA43%57%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.21 – 3.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsSTL
29
Shots on goal
36
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/1
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
2
19
Hits
24
7
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
10
19
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD000030.15100—24:07
29V. DunnD000-220.18300—23:53
28C. SoucyD000+120.29022—20:43
37Y. GourdeC000-220.152004119:56
24J. OleksiakD000-110.15000—19:20
21A. WennbergC000000.000123018:08
9R. DonatoC011030.55100017:01
7J. EberleR101+140.32010—16:24
25K. KuhlmanC000-120.32100016:05
3W. BorgenD011+140.27310—15:06
8C. FleuryD000-200.02500—13:44
16J. McCannL000-110.0511410013:26
15R. SheahanC000000.000006413:19
49V. RaskC000-100.08000013:01
73K. LindR000-110.12000—12:09
72J. DonskoiR000020.26214—11:48
91D. SprongR000-100.11000—11:06
67M. GeekieC000-220.2500010010:53
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60C. Driedger(L)35323.9143.64+0.6458:46

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).