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Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Seattle Kraken 2-1. The Kraken scored first; the Blues answered. The Kraken led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Robert Thomas's goal at 1:29 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 28% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were SEA 32, STL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Chris Driedger stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Ville Husso stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ville Husso (31 saves, .969), 2. Robert Thomas (1 G), 3. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    V. Husso31 saves, .969
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA1150809132
STLSTL0801227227

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.32win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    15:00

3rd period

  1. STL
    B. Saad (5), T. Krug (15)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +25 pts
    1-1
    1:29
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.18win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    5:30

Penalties

SEA 10 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:56SEAMark Giordano · Slashingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 15:46STLJordan Kyrou · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min

2nd

  • 5:18SEAChris Driedger · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
  • 7:45SEAVince Dunn · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 11:59SEAMark Giordano · Trippingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 18:59STLCalle Rosen · Holdingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min

3rd

  • 5:18SEAMax McCormick · Holdingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 17:45STLBrandon Saad · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalSEA goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Robert Thomas, 3rd 1:29 — STL 28% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.18R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.15J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.15R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.13I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.13J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.13J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.11O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.11P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.11I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.10T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.10N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.10R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.09J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.09N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.08N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.08J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.07R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.06B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.02B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.01
STL2 G · 2.7 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsSTL
3.31 G
All situations
2 G2.7
2.21 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
1.00 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA60%40%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsSTL
32
Shots on goal
27
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
21
14
Blocked shots
6
5
Giveaways
9
12
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD000-110.02320—21:22
29V. DunnD000-100.00122—21:14
24J. OleksiakD000+120.17110—20:24
5M. GiordanoD000010.03034—19:41
37Y. GourdeC000-110.282105019:13
28C. SoucyD011+120.05010—18:07
19C. JarnkrokC000010.040103317:44
21A. WennbergC101+140.551005516:54
9R. DonatoC011+140.25100016:44
90M. JohanssonL000010.07000—16:28
16J. McCannL000010.350004016:21
7J. EberleR000050.54010—16:12
22M. AppletonC000+130.24000015:39
43C. BlackwellC000-120.2140010015:03
55J. LauzonD000010.03210—14:21
72J. DonskoiR000-120.40110—13:15
15R. SheahanC000000.000006010:37
71M. McCormickL000010.06002—04:11
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60C. Driedger(L)27252.9262.70+0.7058:18

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).