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St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Seattle Kraken 5-0. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Bozak's goal at 5:54 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 44% to 58%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.1 to 1.5; shots on goal were STL 31, SEA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Joey Daccord stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ville Husso (27 saves, 1.000), 2. Colton Parayko (1 G), 3. Brandon Saad (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    V. Husso27 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    STL
    C. Parayko1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    B. Saad2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL21201237531
SEASEA0701505027

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    T. Bozak(2)SHG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    5:54
  2. STL
    B. Schenn(8)PPG
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    10:23

3rd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.11win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    0:24
  2. STL
    C. Parayko(5)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.31win prob +1 pts
    4-0
    7:40
  3. STL
    R. Thomas (26), B. Saad (8)
    backhandxG 0.17
    5-0
    9:31

Penalties

STL 12 PIM·SEA 12 PIM

1st

  • 4:11STLDavid Perron · Illegal check to headdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 9:25SEAAdam Larsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:07STLNiko Mikkola · Holdingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min
  • 13:32SEAVince Dunn · Trippingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

2nd

  • 6:58STLRobert Bortuzzo · Chargingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 16:49SEAMark Giordano · Trippingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

3rd

  • 3:06STLJustin Faulk · Slashingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 7:40SEAJordan Eberle · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Colton Parayko0 min
  • 11:44STLOskar Sundqvist · Roughingdrawn by Will Borgen2 min
  • 11:44SEAHaydn Fleury · Cross checkingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 13:24STLJordan Kyrou · Roughingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 13:24SEAVince Dunn · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 14:35SEAWill Borgen · Cross checkingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalSTL goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Bozak, 1st 5:54 — STL 44% → 58%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.16R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.13A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.13C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.11R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.11J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.06C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.06R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.05M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.05M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.04M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.04R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.03R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.02C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.01R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.01R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.00H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA0 G · 1.5 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsSEA
3.15 G
All situations
0 G1.5
2.03 G
Even strength
0 G0.8
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL78%22%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 1.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsSEA
31
Shots on goal
27
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/4
Power play
0/4
12
Penalty minutes
12
19
Hits
22
21
Blocked shots
12
8
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD101+140.60020—23:39
72J. FaulkD000+200.00212—21:40
77N. MikkolaD000030.05442—21:12
47T. KrugD011+230.10410—19:06
18R. ThomasC011+100.090007518:16
89P. BuchnevichL101+110.360005017:09
49I. BarbashevL000+110.123203816:38
90R. O'ReillyC011030.330106716:38
57D. PerronL011030.18012—15:50
91V. TarasenkoR011+110.15320—15:50
10B. SchennC101040.3000010015:06
25J. KyrouR101+140.25012—14:37
41R. BortuzzoD000+100.00032—14:28
6M. ScandellaD011+100.05120—13:40
20B. SaadL022+220.33100—13:12
70O. SundqvistC000000.000026713:07
21T. BozakC101+120.07000011:24
37K. KostinC000000.13110008:28
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(W)272701.0001.48+1.4860:00

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).