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Lightning at Red Wings
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸2
Detroit Red Wings
1
Final/OTTV BSDET, BSSUN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-1 in overtime, Brayden Point scoring at 2:32. The Red Wings scored first; the Lightning answered. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 2:32 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.4 to 2.8; shots on goal were TBL 36, DET 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brian Elliott (26 saves, .963), 2. Alex Nedeljkovic (34 saves, .944), 3. Brayden Point (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    B. Elliott26 saves, .963
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. Nedeljkovic34 saves, .944
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TBLTBL0501111614236
DETDET070611400127

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. DET
    O. Sundqvist(6)
    P. Suter (15), A. Erne (11)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +30 pts
    0-1
    8:41
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(29)PPG
    B. Point (24), A. Cirelli (19)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +35 pts
    1-1
    15:22

Overtime

  1. TBL
    B. Point(24)PPG
    S. Stamkos (40), A. Cirelli (20)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    2:32

Penalties

TBL 10 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:26TBLMikhail Sergachev · Interferencedrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 13:13TBLCal Foote · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

2nd

  • 6:02TBLCorey Perry · Trippingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
  • 12:17DETOlli Juolevi · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min

3rd

  • 0:43TBLAnthony Cirelli · High stickingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 2:40TBLAlex Killorn · Trippingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 13:52DETFilip Zadina · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare2 min

OT

  • 0:51DETTyler Bertuzzi · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalTBL goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, OT 2:32 — TBL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.20L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.18J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.17S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.17D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.15D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.15T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.15L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.13T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.13J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.10F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.10J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.10O. Sundqvist · Goal · xG 0.09P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hirose · On goal · xG 0.08F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.08J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.06T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.05J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.05F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.04T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.04F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.04M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.04M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.04J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.03J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.03J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.03O. Juolevi · Missed · xG 0.02F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01O. Juolevi · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.00J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.00F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 2.8 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsDET
4.42 G
All situations
1 G2.8
2.60 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
1.82 G
Power play
0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL73%27%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.31 – 2.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsDET
36
Shots on goal
27
64%
Faceoffs
36%
2/3
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
17
17
Blocked shots
20
4
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD000-120.12020—25:36
98M. SergachevD000020.08322—24:45
91S. StamkosC112071.152107722:13
81E. CernakD000020.10020—21:48
21B. PointC112-151.001005720:29
86N. KucherovR000-150.35120—20:07
71A. CirelliC022-120.110123019:34
44J. RuttaD000-120.29030—19:15
17A. KillornL000000.00212—16:24
24Z. BogosianD000020.09120—15:29
18O. PalatL000020.18000—14:55
38B. HagelL000000.14000—13:39
41P. BellemareL000000.000007112:21
20N. PaulL000010.172106012:19
52C. FooteD000000.00202—10:58
10C. PerryR000020.34202—10:27
14P. MaroonL000010.08200—09:31
79R. ColtonC000010.182006709:31
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1B. Elliott(W)27261.9632.76+1.7662:28

Season series

TBL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).