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Blues at Jets
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
2
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
FinalTV BSMW, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the St. Louis Blues 4-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Scheifele's goal at 16:47 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were STL 28, WPG 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.5 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Paul Stastny (2 G, 1 A), 2. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G, 3 A), 3. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    P. Stastny2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0911118228
WPGWPG011212211434

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(12)
    M. Scheifele (11), P. Stastny (8)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    4:40
  2. STL
    V. Tarasenko(12)
    I. Barbashev (13), P. Buchnevich (17)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    13:47
  3. WPG
    M. Scheifele(8)
    N. Ehlers (10)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    16:47

3rd period

  1. WPG
    P. Stastny(6)
    N. Ehlers (11), B. Dillon (6)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    4:40
  2. STL
    N. Mikkola(2)SHG
    P. Buchnevich (18), I. Barbashev (14)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +8 pts
    2-3
    14:28
  3. WPG
    P. Stastny(7)PPG
    N. Ehlers (12), A. Lowry (3)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    14:44

Penalties

STL 11 PIM·WPG 11 PIM

1st

  • 6:36WPGNathan Beaulieu · Fightingdrawn by Dakota Joshua5 min
  • 6:36STLDakota Joshua · Fightingdrawn by Nathan Beaulieu5 min
  • 7:11STLLogan Brown · Boardingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 16:15STLNiko Mikkola · Trippingdrawn by Kristian Vesalainen2 min
  • 18:53WPGKristian Vesalainen · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

2nd

  • 17:24WPGNathan Beaulieu · Cross checkingdrawn by Matthew Peca2 min

3rd

  • 5:22WPGDominic Toninato · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Peca2 min
  • 13:36STLJordan Binnington · Delaying game2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalSTL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Scheifele, 2nd 16:47 — WPG 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.53N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.23P. Stastny · Goal · xG 0.16D. Toninato · On goal · xG 0.16P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.15A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.15A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.12P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.12P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.10P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.08B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.06P. Stastny · Goal · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.05N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.02N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02K. Vesalainen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 3.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsWPG
2.62 G
All situations
4 G3.1
2.11 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL52%48%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsWPG
28
Shots on goal
34
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/3
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
27
Hits
29
13
Blocked shots
10
12
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
90R. O'ReillyC000-220.201107124:57
89P. BuchnevichL022+140.30110—23:36
55C. ParaykoD000-200.01130—22:45
49I. BarbashevL022+110.270003322:39
91V. TarasenkoR101050.694106722:33
20B. SaadL000-250.28000—21:04
47T. KrugD000020.08200—21:03
72J. FaulkD000+100.05120—19:27
77N. MikkolaD101020.25312—16:51
22L. BrownC000-210.01212016:47
21T. BozakC000020.130103614:34
6M. ScandellaD000010.02410—13:11
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00100—11:53
65A. ToropchenkoR000010.11200—11:45
26N. WalkerL000000.17200—09:22
48S. PerunovichD000-110.03110—08:38
53M. PecaC000000.00100008:34
54D. JoshuaC000010.031057507:01
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)34304.8822.53-1.4757:39

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).