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Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues

Final/OTTV BSMW, TSN3·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3 in overtime, Pierre-Luc Dubois scoring at 2:25. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre-Luc Dubois's goal at 2:25 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.5 to 2.5; shots on goal were WPG 37, STL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Jordan Binnington stopped 33 of 37 (.892). Three stars: 1. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G, 1 A), 2. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G, 2 A), 3. Kyle Connor (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    P. Dubois1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG0911221313437
STLSTL191131801331

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    D. Perron(17)PPG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    16:48

2nd period

  1. WPG
    P. Dubois (23), K. Connor (31)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    10:51
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +23 pts
    1-2
    19:33

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.24win prob +27 pts
    2-2
    6:30
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.11win prob +30 pts
    3-2
    7:33
  3. STL
    slapxG 0.09win prob +44 pts
    3-3
    17:49

Overtime

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers (16), K. Connor (32)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    2:25

Penalties

WPG 14 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:47STLJordan Kyrou · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 11:46STLBrandon Saad · Trippingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 15:28WPGEvgeny Svechnikov · Slashingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min
  • 15:28WPGEvgeny Svechnikov · Misconduct10 min

2nd

  • 13:25WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Hookingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalWPG goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Pierre-Luc Dubois, OT 2:25 — WPG 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.18M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.18D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.14C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.11D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.10T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.09B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.07N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.07D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.07D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.05N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.05A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.05J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.04A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.04B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.04C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.00T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.00T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.00T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 2.5 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSTL
3.54 G
All situations
3 G2.5
3.14 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG66%34%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.47 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSTL
37
Shots on goal
31
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/2
Power play
1/2
14
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
20
13
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
8
9
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000010.16100—25:15
81K. ConnorL123+350.57000—24:36
55M. ScheifeleC101030.410106223:42
26B. WheelerR011+120.07020—22:23
80P. DuboisC112+250.510025421:58
5B. DillonD000010.10210—20:50
25P. StastnyC000050.460108820:25
4N. PionkD011040.12310—20:15
2D. DeMeloD000010.02100—19:44
27N. EhlersL112+250.53210—18:07
88N. SchmidtD000+110.03020—16:55
64L. StanleyD011+110.15220—15:25
17A. LowryC000-100.113104514:26
9A. CoppC000010.170105012:48
71E. SvechnikovL000020.052012—09:12
12J. HarkinsC000000.0620010007:27
93K. VesalainenL000-100.00000—06:40
21D. ToninatoC000000.00100004:29
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)31283.9032.51-0.4961:43

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).