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Jets at Blues
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
St. Louis Blues
1
FinalTV BSMW, CBC·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the St. Louis Blues 4-1. The Blues scored first; the Jets answered. The Jets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 7:57 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.8 to 2.8; shots on goal were WPG 24, STL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Ville Husso stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Connor (1 G, 1 A), 2. Paul Stastny (2 G), 3. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    P. Stastny2 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1102816424
STLSTL11102016129

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    V. Tarasenko(15)PPG
    B. Schenn (11), J. Faulk (13)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:08
  2. WPG
    P. Stastny(10)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:23

2nd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(24)
    P. Dubois (14)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    7:57
  2. WPG
    N. Schmidt(2)PPG
    M. Scheifele (19), K. Connor (20)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    12:35

3rd period

  1. WPG
    P. Stastny(11)EN
    N. Pionk (16)
    wristxG 0.91win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    17:25

Penalties

WPG 12 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:25WPGJohnathan Kovacevic · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

2nd

  • 3:31WPGBlake Wheeler · Trippingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 12:03STLVladimir Tarasenko · High stickingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 15:50WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 15:50STLNiko Mikkola · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

3rd

  • 2:05STLTorey Krug · Holdingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 2:57WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Holdingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 9:37WPGNeal Pionk · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 12:13WPGPaul Stastny · Hookingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min
  • 13:11STLBrayden Schenn · Slashingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalWPG goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 2nd 7:57 — WPG 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.20I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.15R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.13R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.13V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.12R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.12B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.11J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.11B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.10M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.09B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.07B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.07D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.06T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.05T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.05N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.05O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.04N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.04T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.01T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.00T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.00J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.00
STL1 G · 2.8 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSTL
3.83 G
All situations
1 G2.8
2.22 G
Even strength
0 G2.0
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG45%55%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.48 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSTL
24
Shots on goal
29
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
9
Hits
19
11
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
13
13
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD011+110.43112—26:11
88N. SchmidtD101+120.29000—24:38
5B. DillonD000+210.00110—24:06
81K. ConnorL112+240.26000—21:03
14V. HeinolaD000020.21000—18:56
9A. CoppC000020.140005818:52
55M. ScheifeleC011010.060106018:13
26B. WheelerR000010.11012—17:32
80P. DuboisC011+210.323145016:53
25P. StastnyC202+241.28202015:06
17A. LowryC000+120.080105815:04
45D. ChisholmD000+100.00110—12:10
91C. PerfettiC000+100.37000012:09
65J. KovacevicD000+120.03022—11:41
22A. PoganskiR000+100.05110—10:40
21D. ToninatoC000000.00010010:22
93K. VesalainenL000010.01000—08:09
12J. HarkinsC000000.11000006:57
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1E. Comrie(W)29281.9662.81+1.8159:35

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).