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Seattle Kraken at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV BSAZ+, ROOT-NW·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Seattle Kraken 5-4. The Coyotes came back from two goals down. The Kraken led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lawson Crouse's goal at 18:55 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 52% to 97%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 2.4 to 1.4; shots on goal were SEA 31, ARI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 17 of 22 (.773), 3.6 goals below expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Lawson Crouse (2 G), 2. Shayne Gostisbehere (3 A), 3. Scott Wedgewood (27 saves, .931).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    L. Crouse2 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    S. Gostisbehere3 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    S. Wedgewood27 saves, .931

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA31107113431
ARIARI181836522

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:15
  2. SEA
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    0:59
  3. ARI
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    1:33
  4. SEA
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    11:04

2nd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    3:12

3rd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +24 pts
    3-3
    0:46
  2. ARI
    P. Kessel(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +28 pts
    3-4
    13:34
  3. SEA
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.04win prob +44 pts
    4-4
    18:42
  4. ARI
    wristxG 0.17win prob +46 pts
    4-5
    18:55

Penalties

SEA 4 PIM·ARI 6 PIM

1st

  • 19:51ARIChristian Fischer · High stickingdrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min
  • 19:51SEAJamie Oleksiak · Cross checkingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min

2nd

  • 15:54ARIBen McCartney · High stickingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min

3rd

  • 4:25ARILawson Crouse · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min
  • 12:54SEANathan Bastian · Trippingdrawn by Cam Dineen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalSEA goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Lawson Crouse, 3rd 18:55 — ARI 52% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.17A. Roussel · Goal · xG 0.13T. Boyd · Goal · xG 0.13B. McCartney · On goal · xG 0.10L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.09J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kessel · Goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.07J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.07L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.06S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04C. Dineen · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dineen · Missed · xG 0.03D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01B. McCartney · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dineen · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dineen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dineen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mayo · Missed · xG 0.00
ARI5 G · 1.4 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsARI
2.44 G
All situations
5 G1.4
1.94 G
Even strength
4 G1.3
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA70%30%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 1.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsARI
31
Shots on goal
22
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
45
9
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD101+330.14110—22:47
24J. OleksiakD011+100.00322—21:07
6A. LarssonD000-230.07400—20:58
17J. SchwartzL000+150.17100—20:46
19C. JarnkrokC000000.041004020:25
37Y. GourdeC101+230.183102719:40
4H. FleuryD000000.02110—19:37
7J. EberleR101+150.88000—19:20
21A. WennbergC011010.180004418:24
29V. DunnD000-110.03000—18:22
13B. TanevL011020.13300—15:44
15R. SheahanC000000.002005014:30
72J. DonskoiR000-200.05010—13:50
14N. BastianR101020.2021210013:21
28C. SoucyD000-120.11300—13:10
71M. McCormickL000+110.070205011:54
67M. GeekieC000-130.162005010:41
9R. DonatoC000-100.00000003:39
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)22175.7731.39-3.6158:50

Season series

ARI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).