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Utah Mammoth at Seattle Kraken

FinalTV BSAZ, ROOT-NW·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Seattle Kraken 5-2. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Schmaltz's goal at 14:51 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 68% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 4.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were ARI 27, SEA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 34 of 36 (.944); Philipp Grubauer stopped 22 of 25 (.880). Three stars: 1. Karel Vejmelka (34 saves, .944), 2. Colin Blackwell (1 G), 3. Calle Jarnkrok (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    K. Vejmelka34 saves, .944
  2. ★★
    SEA
    C. Blackwell1 G
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    C. Jarnkrok1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI1811039527
SEASEA01509212236

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:07

2nd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    14:51

3rd period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.03win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    0:16
  2. ARI
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    1:52
  3. SEA
    snapxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    3-2
    15:52
  4. ARI
    backhandxG 0.77win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    18:23
  5. ARI
    backhandxG 0.52
    5-2
    19:00

Penalties

ARI 4 PIM·SEA 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:40ARIAntoine Roussel · Hookingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min

2nd

  • 10:39SEAMason Appleton · Trippingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 18:15SEAVince Dunn · Slashingdrawn by Phil Kessel2 min

3rd

  • 8:27ARIJakob Chychrun · Trippingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalARI goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Schmaltz, 2nd 14:51 — ARI 68% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.15A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.13Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.13C. Jarnkrok · Goal · xG 0.12J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.11J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.10Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.09H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.09Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.09M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.07M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.06M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.05V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.04M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.04C. Blackwell · Goal · xG 0.03C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.02W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.00M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.00W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.00C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA2 G · 2.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsSEA
4.63 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.53 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI62%38%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.74 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsSEA
27
Shots on goal
36
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
5
Hits
9
18
Blocked shots
12
3
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000+250.36142—20:44
86A. StralmanD101+210.12010—20:30
9C. KellerR011020.24000—20:01
14S. GostisbehereD000-100.08020—19:21
46I. LyubushkinD022+210.01130—18:49
61D. MayoD000-120.07030—18:36
62J. MoserD011+200.00000—18:17
8N. SchmaltzC202+140.660006717:34
72T. BoydC000000.151105517:34
67L. CrouseL000+300.3301010016:42
81P. KesselR112+220.78000—16:25
17A. GalchenyukC112+320.911005015:53
36C. FischerR000040.250105814:31
16A. LaddL000030.35010—13:33
26A. RousselL000000.0600210013:25
10R. DzingelC011010.131002211:52
21L. ErikssonL011000.0701010011:42
38L. O'BrienC000000.00000010:31
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)36342.9442.11+0.1160:00

Season series

ARI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).