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Seattle Kraken at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV BSAZ, ROOT-NW·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2. The Coyotes scored first; the Kraken answered. The Kraken led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carson Soucy's goal at 17:18 of the second period, which took the Kraken's chances from 48% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were SEA 39, ARI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Karel Vejmelka stopped 35 of 39 (.897), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carson Soucy (2 G), 2. Morgan Geekie (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nick Schmaltz (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    C. Soucy2 G
  2. ★★
    SEA
    M. Geekie1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    N. Schmaltz1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA015313111439
ARIARI0721405226

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. ARI
    snapxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    8:11
  2. SEA
    wristxG 0.03win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    8:29
  3. ARI
    wristxG 0.22win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    9:13
  4. SEA
    D. Sprong(9)PPG
    J. Schwartz (15), V. Dunn (20)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    13:39
  5. SEA
    wristxG 0.08win prob +22 pts
    3-2
    17:18

3rd period

  1. SEA
    J. McCann (14), K. Lind (3)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    4-2
    12:38

Penalties

SEA 6 PIM·ARI 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:08ARITravis Boyd · Holdingdrawn by Will Borgen2 min
  • 18:46SEAVince Dunn · Trippingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

2nd

  • 6:25SEAHaydn Fleury · Cross checkingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 11:45ARIKyle Capobianco · Interferencedrawn by Daniel Sprong2 min
  • 15:11ARIMatias Maccelli · Hookingdrawn by Daniel Sprong2 min
  • 18:58SEACarson Soucy · Interferencedrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalSEA goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Carson Soucy, 2nd 17:18 — SEA 48% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.22N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.15N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.14M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.14P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.10P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.10L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08L. Eriksson · Missed · xG 0.08S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.08L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.07A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.07L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.06M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.05M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.05L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.04C. Dineen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.03L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mayo · Missed · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dineen · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI2 G · 2.3 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsARI
3.14 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.83 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.61 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA55%45%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 2.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsARI
39
Shots on goal
26
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
25
13
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
12
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD000020.04230—25:29
29V. DunnD011+220.04232—24:56
24J. OleksiakD000+130.03210—21:43
37Y. GourdeC000010.191007119:27
28C. SoucyD202+280.25322—18:42
7J. EberleR011+110.17300—18:37
21A. WennbergC011+100.001104417:45
25K. KuhlmanC000010.35410016:32
17J. SchwartzL011+130.1401010015:50
15R. SheahanC000010.051003815:38
16J. McCannL011040.7900010015:21
3W. BorgenD000010.02000—15:11
72J. DonskoiR000030.42200—13:05
67M. GeekieC112+110.231005512:45
9R. DonatoC011+110.0911010012:14
91D. SprongR101+150.23100—11:24
73K. LindR011010.01000—10:53
4H. FleuryD000-110.03002—08:42
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)26242.9232.35+0.3559:52

Season series

ARI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).