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Flames at Oilers
NHL

Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸5
FinalTV SN, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Calgary Flames 5-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 17:29 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 67% to 83%. Expected goals were close — CGY 3.2, EDM 3.3; shots on goal were CGY 47, EDM 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.6 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 45 of 47 (.957), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (3 G), 2. Jesse Puljujarvi (1 G, 2 A), 3. Andrew Mangiapane (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    J. Puljujarvi1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    A. Mangiapane1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY015118114247
EDMEDM2151929533

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    D. Ryan(1)
    W. Foegele (1), Z. Kassian (1)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:08
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(1)PPG
    J. Puljujarvi (1), L. Draisaitl (2)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    17:29

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(2)PPG
    D. Nurse (2), R. Nugent-Hopkins (1)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    5:33
  2. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(1)
    D. Dube (1), J. Välimäki (1)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    9:19

3rd period

  1. CGY
    E. Lindholm(1)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (1), R. Andersson (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    5:03
  2. EDM
    J. Puljujarvi(2)
    C. Ceci (1), L. Draisaitl (3)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    5:29
  3. EDM
    C. McDavid(3)EN
    J. Puljujarvi (2), L. Draisaitl (4)
    wristxG 0.93
    2-5
    18:23

Penalties

CGY 10 PIM·EDM 12 PIM

1st

  • 2:57CGYGlenn Gawdin · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Turris2 min
  • 14:33CGYRasmus Andersson · Roughingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 14:33CGYRasmus Andersson · Elbowingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 15:21EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Markstrom2 min
  • 18:22CGYNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min
  • 18:22EDMZack Kassian · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 19:39EDMZach Hyman · Closing hand on puck2 min

2nd

  • 2:24EDMConnor McDavid · Holdingdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min
  • 4:12CGYMilan Lucic · Trippingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 10:16EDMKailer Yamamoto · Trippingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min

3rd

  • 4:12EDMKailer Yamamoto · Hookingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCGY goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 1st 17:29 — EDM 67% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.93D. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.28Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.26E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.12D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.10C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.07W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.06T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.05D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.05T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04J. Puljujarvi · Goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.03D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.02D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.01B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM5 G · 3.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsEDM
3.22 G
All situations
4 G3.3
2.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
1.11 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY63%37%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.16 – 2.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsEDM
47
Shots on goal
33
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/4
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
12
27
Hits
26
6
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
10
9
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
13J. GaudreauL000-130.20000—23:57
28E. LindholmC101030.171205623:41
4R. AnderssonD011-120.06114—22:37
19M. TkachukL011-191.19210—21:40
55N. HanifinD000030.13100—21:04
8C. TanevD000-200.00000—20:35
16N. ZadorovD000-240.05312—18:35
11M. BacklundC000-220.030004817:38
88A. MangiapaneL101040.5020010016:43
44E. GudbransonD000+120.07100—16:15
23S. MonahanC000020.144005315:25
29D. DubeC011-140.38100014:57
22T. LewisC000-100.00410014:33
17M. LucicL000-110.05302—12:18
6J. VälimäkiD011020.02100—12:03
24B. RitchieR000030.17200—09:12
42G. GawdinC000020.041022508:08
58O. KylingtonD000010.05000—03:27
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)32284.8752.41-1.5958:55

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).